Sunak now level-pegging with Johnson on who would make the “best PM”

Sunak now level-pegging with Johnson on who would make the “best PM”

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The Chancellor is also 8% ahead of Starmer Newbie pollsters, Redfield & Wilton are now asking their samples every week “At this moment, which of the following individuals do you think would be the better Prime Minister for the United Kingdom? ” One of the comparisons is between Boris Johnson and Ricki Sunak. As can be seen from the Wikipedia table above Johnson has led on this by margins of upto 13% in the past three polls but in the…

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The decision to make mask wearing in shops compulsory dominates the front pages

The decision to make mask wearing in shops compulsory dominates the front pages

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But is this another pandemic measure that should have been brought in earlier? So the decision has last been made that shoppers in England should be forced by law to wear masks in shops but not till July 24th. Like other elements in Britain’s attempt to to contain the pandemic the big political issue has been on the timing. Should this have been brought in earlier? The Independent notes: As early as 21 April, the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for…

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Pence for Republican VP nominee – what are the chances that he won’t be?

Pence for Republican VP nominee – what are the chances that he won’t be?

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While there’s been a lot of betting activity on Biden’s VP pick (£1.2m so far matched on Betfair) there’s been much less activity on Mike Pence being on the Republican ticket (just £12k) once again in November. He’s currently at 1.11/1.16 on Betfair which might be value for the lay. There are a couple of ways that he’s not in the VP slot. First Trump could pull out of the race and there have been some suggestions that this might…

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How long before Johnson’s “should” wear masks become a legal requirement?

How long before Johnson’s “should” wear masks become a legal requirement?

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Govey is taking a different view The growing big political issue in relation to controlling the pandemic is whether or not people should be required to wear masks. What is interesting is there appears to be a difference in opinion between Johnson and senior cabinet minister Michael Gove who told the BBC yesterday that face coverings should not be mandatory. The big difference between Johnson and Gove, of course, is that the former has actually been through the turmoil and…

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As Covid soars to new US peak YouGov polling suggests that Trump is being hurt most amongst those who feel worst affected

As Covid soars to new US peak YouGov polling suggests that Trump is being hurt most amongst those who feel worst affected

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New CBS polling in three big sunbelt states that now look to be highly competitive has found that the more voters are concerned about the virus the more they are likely to support Biden. The three states, Arizona, Florida and Texas have been amongst the worst hit in the resurgence of the pandemic and this is reflected in the polling. In the states Biden is now leading Trump by 6% in Florida, and with highly competitive races in Arizona and in…

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The Lincoln Project’s response to Trump’s pardon of convicted felon Roger Stone

The Lincoln Project’s response to Trump’s pardon of convicted felon Roger Stone

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There’s little doubt that Trump’s pardon of advisor, Roger Stone, only days before he was due to start a prison sentence is a huge moment in this election campaign. He’s not the first President to issue controversial pardons and many remember the final days of Bill Clinton’s terms. But this one really stands out and looks set to play a big part in the coming weeks in the efforts of those who want to stop him being re-elected. The Lincoln…

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The latest Opinium poll has Starmer beating Johnson on thirteen different measures yet still the Tories retain their 4% voting lead

The latest Opinium poll has Starmer beating Johnson on thirteen different measures yet still the Tories retain their 4% voting lead

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Good news for the red team as their leader completes his first three months? The above chart from Opinium sets out the responses to a wide range of match-ups between Starmer and Johnson and as can be seen these sre not good for the current incumbent at Number 10. One of the reasons as you look through the detail is that voters of just about all persuasions including Tories are reluctant to give the new LAB leader and former DPP…

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Where is the Democratic Tea Party?

Where is the Democratic Tea Party?

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Looking at the changes in the US electorate There is no doubt that President Trump is keen to make the Presidential election a referendum on ‘woke’, on the topping of statues, and on the Democratic party being in hock to a far left faction. And recent did gift him some prize examples, the “awkward squad” of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, Ayanna Pressley of Massachusetts, and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan were all elected to the House…

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