His Highness, King Donald the First, the Great Usurping Caesar, violator of the constitution is now talking about delaying the election

His Highness, King Donald the First, the Great Usurping Caesar, violator of the constitution is now talking about delaying the election

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Donald Trump’s tweet is quite interesting for those of us betting on this year’s Presidential election. Quite frankly it would require an act of Congress to change the date of this November’s election from the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. It would require all 50 states to go along with this, which I cannot see happening. If there’s no election Trump’s mandate expires next January and Nancy Pelosi would take over. I suspect this might be more…

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65 years of Tory Prime Ministers – their educational backgrounds

65 years of Tory Prime Ministers – their educational backgrounds

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And EVERY LAB winner of a general election majority winner went to Oxford One of my little obsessions over the years has been the very narrow base from which political leaders come from in the UK. The table above shows the educational backgrounds of every Tory PM since Churchill stood aside in 1955 and as can be seen all but one of them went to Oxford – the exception being John Major who did not go to university. Labour doesn’t…

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The Biden note that’s made Harris odds on favourite once again for the VP pick

The Biden note that’s made Harris odds on favourite once again for the VP pick

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On Betfair she’s moved from a 35% chance to a 57% one On Betfair the betting on who Joe Biden will choose as his VP has been totally shaken up overnight following a photographer snapping a note seen in his hands in which Harris, the longtime favourite, is at the top and rated highly. The development followed last night’s news that the presumptive Democratic party nominee will announce who will be on the ticket with him during the first week…

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Joe Biden says his VP choice will be announced in the first week of August

Joe Biden says his VP choice will be announced in the first week of August

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The big news in the Biden VP betting is that the presumptive nominee has said that he’ll reveal in the first week of August who is going to be on the ticket with him. The impact on the betting markets has been to see more money backed on Susan Rice who worked closely with Biden during the eight years of the Obama presidency. She’s the one contender for the slot who has no experience of being a candidate but it…

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As we head into August the impact on holidays becomes the big pandemic story

As we head into August the impact on holidays becomes the big pandemic story

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Have ministers panicked? Today’s front pages give a good representation of the main pandemic stories and what the papers think are the issues most likely to impact on their readers. Once again the Daily Star manages to produce the most striking front page and that paper is to my mind having the best pandemic. So often it is taking the most eye-catching and humorous approach which is very much in the spirit of the early days of the tabloid Sun….

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Starmer’s getting his lowest approval ratings in the CON seats that should be LAB’s main targets

Starmer’s getting his lowest approval ratings in the CON seats that should be LAB’s main targets

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This chart is a follow up to the one on the previous header which looked at the PM’s approval ratings by what happened at GE2019 in groups of constituencies. As can be seen the Starmer approval ratings follow the same pattern with Corbyn’s successor getting positive numbers across the board but doing least well in those seats which were gained by the Tories at GE2019. Note that this isn’t just from one poll but the average for each group from…

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