Johnson’s Commons response on the UK’s COVID infection rate is really quite extraordinary

Johnson’s Commons response on the UK’s COVID infection rate is really quite extraordinary

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The clip now trending on social media I have only just seen this Commons response by the PM to LAB MP, Ben Bradshaw, who asked about the UK’s COVID infection rate compared with Italy and Germany. It really is quite remarkable that Johnson should turn this round to Britain being a “freedom loving country” This was an obvious question and he should have had a response all prepared. His apporach, I’d suggest, is one of the reasons why his personal…

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A problem about enforcement remains Johnson’s failure to do anything about the Cummings lockdown breach

A problem about enforcement remains Johnson’s failure to do anything about the Cummings lockdown breach

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This is always going to be thrown back at him Quite clearly the Government is aboslutely right to bring in more restrictions in view of the ongoing rise in infections. There is a serious problem that needs to be tackled and we heard the latest contols from Johnson in the Commons. It is noteable that there is a lot more about enforcement and penalities for those who are in breach something that wasn’t so important in the early days of…

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The US polling that’s putting the focus on the key group that backs Trump – evangelical Chrisitans

The US polling that’s putting the focus on the key group that backs Trump – evangelical Chrisitans

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The above poll finding has been getting a lot of attention today with the obvious response how can people who call themselves Christians think in this way about refugees. What should not be underestimated is how central Evangelical Christains are to the re-election of the thrice-married self-confessed “pussy grabber”, Donald Trump. The White Evangelical vote is so keen on prioritising its agenda on abourtion which is why it has been ready to ignore much about thr incumbent.

The challenge for Trump is that white voters are now significantly less likely to support him than at WH2016

The challenge for Trump is that white voters are now significantly less likely to support him than at WH2016

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There’s a great analysis on Politico on some of the demographic trends being seen in the latest polling on the White House race: Trump’s rhetoric does not appear to be resonating with white America to the degree that he did in 2016. That year, whites cast nearly three-quarters of the vote nationally, and Trump won those voters by about 15 percentage points, according to Pew. Four years later, Biden has torn into that advantage, though to what degree is uncertain….

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New Ipsos US polling finds HALF of Republican voters oppose the plan to fill the Supreme Court vacancy before the election

New Ipsos US polling finds HALF of Republican voters oppose the plan to fill the Supreme Court vacancy before the election

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A new Reuters/Ipsos poll carried out after the news of the Supreme Court vacancy became known finds a significant level voter opposition to the Trump/McConnell plan to fill it before the election. A total of 62% of US adults thought the vacancy should be filled by the winner of the November 3rd White House election, while 23% disagreed and the rest said they were not sure. As you would expect eight out of 10 Democrats want the decision delayed until…

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This week’s most important polling analysis on the White House race

This week’s most important polling analysis on the White House race

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I’m very intrigued by this analysis by the New York Times, as seen in the tweets above, it probably explains the current prices on Betfair where Trump is very close to Biden. There’s always a danger of refighting the last war, as Elliott Morris acknowledges, but in 2012 the RCP nationwide polling average had Obama winning by 0.7% when in reality he ended up winning by 3.9%, if we see that kind of error then Biden’s looking at something close…

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The joy of six. How many of these states will Trump win?

The joy of six. How many of these states will Trump win?

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Ladbrokes have a super six market of states, of these six, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas, how many will Trump win. To be honest I’m not seeing any value here and see this as a market that will pay for the bonuses for those who compile the odds for markets like this. If you were to work out the accumulator odds for all individual six states to be won by Trump using the odds offered by Ladbrokes…

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