US YouGov poll finds 36% of Americans saying the Royal Family is racist – just 19% say they aren’t
And YouGov UK favourability ratings have Meghan, Harry and Charles the main losers
Oh dear… ODA…
BBC Graphic Charity begins at home According to recent reports Boris Johnson appears to be taking that rather literally. Nevertheless, the sentiment is one that voters share. Voters of all parties suggested the govt was right to cut the foreign aid budget. Foreign aid is an excellent wedge issue for Boris Johnson to divide labour voters from labour politicians. And yet – making sweeping budgetary changes is easier announced than enacted. The cut from 0.7% to 0.5% of GDP may…
Now the last SIX Scottish referendum polls have NO in the lead
Table Wikipedia For the previous twelve months all the polls had YES ahead
After the damaging spat with Salmond can Sturgeon lead the SNP to a Holyrood majority on May 4th?
We are now just eight weeks away from the May 4th when there’ll be the biggest group of elections taking place in the UK outside a general election. For as well as those contests that were scheduled to take place this year there are all those which had to be postponed last year because of the pandemic. This is going to be a very big night with counting expected to last well into the Friday evening something that is not…
Punters now make it a 66% chance that Brian Rose will get less than 2% in the London Mayoral race
The big surprise in the race for the London mayoralty has been the apparently well funded campaign by political newcomer, Brian Rose. At one stage he was being traded on the betting exchanges as 7/1 second favourite. For a month a two he was getting a fair amount of publicity and there were a few canny punters about ready to lay him at what seemed ridiculous odds for a total novice without a party machine. Quite how Rose got to…
Is this Trump’s legacy – Republican voters significantly less likely to follow COVID guidelines than Democratic ones?
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As far as punters are concerned the Tories are set to lose their majority at the next election
The Bedata.io chart above shows what’s been happening on the Betfair next general election overall majority betting market. As can be seen a CON majority, now a 34% chance, has risen to its highest level in a year while a LAB majority has dropped to 22%. My guess is that the recent moves are in response to the positive polling news for the Tories. The thing I find remarkable is that even with one poll having the Tories 13% ahead…
With 7 weeks to go before Scotland votes the latest three polls find voters opposed to another IndyRef
The Wikipedia table shows the last few months of polling in Scotland on having another IndyRef similar to the one that voted NO in September 2014. For more than a year all the polls showed a desire for a fresh vote until the past two weeks. We will have to see if other Scottish polls follow a similar pattern but there is little doubt that the question of whether there should be another IndyRef looks sets the most important issue…