I’d like to see betting markets on how many MPs and MSPs defect to Alba by the end of May

I’d like to see betting markets on how many MPs and MSPs defect to Alba by the end of May

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It has been quite an exciting 48 hours in Scotland with the announcement of the Alba Party by former First Minister Alex Salmond, we’ve seen two defections from the Westminster delegation which Ian Blackford has reacted to the defections dispassionately to rival the the way so many Conservatives handled the defection of Mark Reckless in 2014. Blackford’s comment reminded me of one Conservative’s observation at the time of the defection of Mark Reckless “I can’t say the word c**t but…

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The Prince of Wales of people’s hearts, in people’s hearts, and votes?

The Prince of Wales of people’s hearts, in people’s hearts, and votes?

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Boris Johnson isn’t the only British politician experiencing a vaccine boost The voting intention section of the YouGov polling of Wales was quite disheartening for Labour. Regular readers of this website are aware that leader ratings and other related supplementaries are often better pointers of electoral outcomes than headline voting intention figures ergo there is a bit of hope for Labour. As we can see in the second tweet Mark Drakeford’s ratings show he is the first Welsh Prince of…

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What does Salmond want and what will he achieve?

What does Salmond want and what will he achieve?

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It’s difficult to see Alba doing anything other than damaging Sindy chances Not all politics is personal but it’s very hard to explain Alex Salmond’s return to the front line of Scottish politics in any other terms. He feels very wronged. Wronged by the actions of his former party and his former deputy and successor, whose behaviour towards him may or may not have been inappropriate depending on which report or inquiry you read; and wronged by the Scottish government…

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After the longest wait for a by-election since GE1945 it looks like there’ll be two on the same day

After the longest wait for a by-election since GE1945 it looks like there’ll be two on the same day

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The Wikipedia panel above shows the outcome of the general election in the Scottish constituency of Airdrie and Shottswhere where there will be a Westminster by-election in the first week of May. It looks as though the LAB defence of Hartlepool will take place on the same day. The Scottish vacancy follows the resignation of the sitting member Neil Gray to run in the corresponding seat in the Holyrood election. Labour could have a chance if the unionist vote gets…

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After their party’s flops at WH2020 and the Senate run-offs Georgia’s Republicans act to make it more difficult to vote

After their party’s flops at WH2020 and the Senate run-offs Georgia’s Republicans act to make it more difficult to vote

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The GOP – Working hard to make the US less democratic The Washington Post reports: Georgia lawmakers approved a sweeping voting measure Thursday that proponents said is necessary to shore up confidence in the state’s elections but that critics countered will lead to longer lines, partisan control of elections and more difficult procedures for voters trying to cast their ballots by mail..The measure is one of the first major voting bills to pass as dozens of state legislatures consider restrictions to how…

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The May 6th Welsh Senedd election is starting to look very tight

The May 6th Welsh Senedd election is starting to look very tight

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To put these numbers into context at the constituency vote for 2016 Welsh election the vote split was: LAB 34.7% CON 21.2% PC 20.5% LD 7.7% UKIP 12.5% So the Tories are getting very close to Labour helped enormously by UKIP’s successor party, Reform, only being on 3%. Also we have the “Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party polling 7% on the regional list. Could it be possible that the Welsh Tories could pull off a surprise here?