In the WH2020 betting Trump’s at 55% and declining with Biden at 39% and rising
How the market’s moved now Biden’s set to be the presumptive nominee
UK total up 47 to 163
Coronavirus: 47 new cases confirmed – taking UK total to 163 https://t.co/kqwvbw7xPU — SkyNews (@SkyNews) March 6, 2020 While the worldwide total tops 100k Mike Smithson
How long before a UK coronavirus death does not make the front pages
There’ll come a time when this is no longer news Inevitably the first UK death from the corona virus is a major milestone for the country as it faces an ever expanding total of people who have been affected. Quite a few countries experienced their first death some time ago and it seems that the UK’s only just catching up. Maybe that’s because it has been later to start here? One thing is for sure that is that as soon…
Starmer now a 94% chance on Betfair to be the next LAB leader
With less than a month to go until the LAB leadership contest ends Starmer moves up to a 94% chance on Betfair – odds that suggest that he’s a near certainty. The contest has gone on for so long and the outcome apparently a foregone conclusion for many many weeks now that it is hardly getting any attention. The big question that will soon be asked is how he’s going to against Johnson and how is politics going to change…
Now former odds-on betting favourite, Elizabeth Warren, quits the race
BREAKING: Elizabeth Warren is dropping out of the presidential race, ending a campaign that at one point seemed poised to win the Democratic nominationhttps://t.co/N8NE1MlcvA — BuzzFeed News (@BuzzFeedNews) March 5, 2020 Back in October Warren was the 52% favourite on Betfair So now its down to the two very old men are not far from 80 Mike Smithson
The virus score card as at 1353GMT
Access the fuller version here
WH2020: The betting markets move against there being a brokered convention
This is a market that so far we have not featured on PB – will a candidate get a majority of the pledged delegates? This is the market definition: “Will a Democratic Presidential Nominee candidate reach a majority, more than half, of pledged delegates after the results of the last Primary to officially declare? Delegate count will be taken from The Democratic Party. This market will be settled once all primary results have been officially declared by the Democratic Party….
Bloomberg becomes the first of the elderly septuagenarians to quit the Dem race
But the other two, Biden and Bernie, remain It was almost inevitable that after spending getting on for half a billion dollars on his effort to to gain the Democratic nomination that multi billionaire Mike Bloomberg should decide to quit after his disappointing performance yesterday. Bloomberg had avoided the first four primaries in the process thinking that he could join in for Super Tuesday by using his immense wealth to saturate key states with a mass of advertising on his…