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A little bit later than usual we now have the leader approval ratings from the latest Opinium poll and the trend charts for Johnson and Starmer are above. The main feature is that the vaccine bounce that the PM enjoyed is now over and he is back in negative territory. Starmer who has a far high level of don’t knows has seen a slight improvement but he remains a net negative with no indication that this will be reversed. Opinium…

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It’s coming home or it’s coming Rome, either way tonight’s result will dominate the news agenda for days (and even longer if England win.) As an England fan for the last four decades England’s last two tournaments have been quite the culture shock, I’m not sure I can cope, it is the hope that kills you. Hopefully tonight England avoid putting up the worst performance against a side from Rome since the battle of Zama, that’s all I ask. As…

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..They retained a seat in a Westminster by-election In all the focus on Labour’s by-election performances, there has been much less attention to the Tories who have struggled whenever they’ve been defending a seat. For although they took Copeland from LAB in 2017 and Hartlepool in May their record in by-election defences has been very poor. Indeed you have to go back to December 8th 2016 and Sleaford and North Hykeham to find a seat that they managed to hang…

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Part of the Tory programme at GE2010 was the “triple lock” for pensioners. Passed into legislation in 2011 this guarantees that the basic state pension will rise by a minimum of either 2.5%, the rate of inflation or average earnings growth, whichever is largest. What nobody envisaged at that time was that a totally artificial drop year on year in average earnings such as that created by the pandemic would point to, perhaps, an 8% increase in average earnings which according to…

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New poling by Ipsos MORI for The Economist finds backing for extending certain restrictions to stop the spread of COVID in the short-term while it is still posing a risk, however, there is much less support for these measures to remain in place permanently.  As can be seen a large number want face masks to continue to be compulsory in shops and on public transport after July 19th. 70% want to see this continue for 1 month after 19th July while two…

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