politicalbetting.com

Following on from the latest Ipsos-MORI voting poll we now have the full dataset which highlights what looks like being a big divide in public opinion – the choice of those who are graduates against those who are not. In some ways this represents the fact that the proportion of grads has increased sharply since the Robbins report came out in the early 1960s and paved the way for the huge expansion in higher education. What is interesting is that…

Read More Read More

Not good for LAB/Starmer on either leader satisfaction or voting These days when virtually all polling is carried out online the regular Ipsos-MORI political monitor stands out as the only regular major poll that was carried out by random phone calls to the public. What makes this one different for me is that I was one of those who was randomly called and the chances of that must be about one in several hundred thousand. The numbers themselves are very…

Read More Read More

This morning’s Daily Express raises what is almost certainly going to be the biggest, and potentially most politically damaging, decision that Sunak has to make – should state pensions rise in line with the triple lock formula which because of COVID could give them (and me for that matter) an 8% rise. We have looked at this before because the formula, part of the CON GE2010 manifesto, has state pensions going up in line with prices, average wages or 2.5%…

Read More Read More

And 58% want a change this year The graphic above is from today’s Daily Mail and has numbers that will seriously worry Downing Street. For as can been seen it suggests that those polled want Rishi Sunak to replace Johnson as PM and for the change to take place if not now then within a year. I must admit that I have never heard of the pollster, JL Partners, and my first reaction on seeing the details was to find…

Read More Read More

Just about the only polling that looks views of Sunak against Johnson is the above regular question in the Redfield & Wilton poll. Overall in the latest survey Johnson has a lead of 2% but that includes findings for Wales and Scotland and in the chart I have just looked at England.

Former Newsnight reporter and Number 10 spinner, Allegra Stratton, has caused a bit of a stir by raising questions about the current feasibility of electric cars and the lack of infrastructure to support them. This has been accentuated by her current role in handling the PR for the Glasgow UN climate change conference. When asked about her getting an electric car she said she didn’t fancy one yet and preferred her diesel Golf. She made good points about their range…

Read More Read More