Rule breaking Rishi wins the debate as Kemi puts the bad in Badenoch
TSE
A Tory coronation?
Smarkets have this market on whether the Tories will do a 2016 and choose their new leader without the swivel eyed loonies Tory party members having the final say. I cannot see it happening, absent a scandal after the final ballot of Tory MPs featuring the top two. Tory members would be revolting at being excluded once more, and in 2007 and 2016 shows the unhappy precedents of party leaders being crowned without members having the final say on who…
Why stoking the culture wars ensures a Tory shellacking
Like a eunuch attempting to star in a hard core porno I expect if the Tories bang on about wokeism and ignore the cost of living crisis they are both in for a world of frustration, embarrassment, and mockery, with the electorate set to play the role of Christian Grey to the Tory Party’s Anastasia Steele. The reality is the Tory party has the levers of powers to try and mitigate the cost of living crisis, and the crisis is…
Rishi looks set to be Next PM betting favourite once again
Which contenders should LAB and the LDs fear most?
This is entirely unscientific but I’ve been trying to work out which of the Tory contenders the LDs and LAB would least like to face at the general election. Both opposition parties have high hopes of taking CON seats and clearly, the person who becomes the next PM will have a big impact on that. My guess is that Tom Tugenhart would be the PM LDs would most fear. He’s never been tainted by taking office under Johnson and would…
How the first debate moved the betting
As can be seen the main betting beneficiary was Sunak who moved into second place while Truss went down. Will this all change again with tomorrow’s second debate? Mordaunt and Truss surely are not going to be so poor again.
Snap debate poll gives it to Tugendhat
The snap poll from Opinium looks about right to me but I’m surprised that Liz Truss got as much as 7%. She was truly awful and not far behind was the betting favourite, Penny Mordaunt who simply did not have it either. Tugendhat was really excellent and it really is surprising that he was largely unknown until this race started. As I write you can get 54/1 on him on Betfair. Fortunately, I cashed out of my Mordaunt position during…
How will the Tory betting look after tonight’s TV debate?
Will Mordaunt still be favourite? One of the things about this contest is that all the contenders’ bar Sunak and possibly Truss are relatively unknown to the public so this event will give many of us the first chance to see them. For one of the features of Johnson’s leadership is that apart from the Chancellor few other ministers got a real look in. Apart from one or two Youtube clips I have never see Penny M on a big…