What do we think of the John Rentoul Dim Sum forecast?

What do we think of the John Rentoul Dim Sum forecast?

My views: The election date is probably right but I am part from convinced that Rishi Sunak will continue to be Prime Minister after the next general election. The Tories have generally in the past been successful in demonising whoever the Labour leader is as a means of frightening the public. In recent times that worked with Ed Miliband and Jeremy Corbyn but is Starmer such an easy target? Also Sunak with all his riches has very little in common…

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Time for Starmer to be bolder on Brexit?

Time for Starmer to be bolder on Brexit?

If it’s a disaster then it should be portrayed as Tory disaster Ever since he became leader of the Labour Party in 2020 SKS has sought not to say or do anything which could be interpreted as seeking to undermine the referendum result. Maybe in the immediate aftermath of the last election that was probably a good strategy but since then things have changed quite dramatically. We are now seeing how not being in the EU is impacting the economy….

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Vote blue, go green?

Vote blue, go green?

I have to confess I’m a little surprised by this finding that shows a de facto tie between the right and wrong over opening a coal mine, I was expecting more opposition to the opening of this coal mine. I think the public get the nuance of the situation, Vladimir Putin’s actions have made this inevitable and don’t hold it against the government in the way they do the energy crisis. As somebody who grew up in South Yorkshire in…

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Just 1 in 6 Brits are heating their home as much as they want

Just 1 in 6 Brits are heating their home as much as they want

I suspect when it comes to the next general election the voters who struggled to heat their homes as much as they wanted to will cause huge problems for the Tories. In isolation it would be problematic for the Tories, when you put it into the context of Tory sleaze, such as the PPE scandals, will be utterly toxic. TSE

LAB now odds-on in the betting to win a majority

LAB now odds-on in the betting to win a majority

But Scotland remains a massive problem for LAB The chart shows how things have moved in the past 12-months in the next general election betting market. As can be seen LAB has moved up for a 16% chance to a 51% chance now while the Tories have moved from 35% to 11%. I for one remain less than convinced about LAB for one reason and that is Scotland. This week’s Ipsos Scotland-only poll had SNP 51%, LAB 25%, CON 13%…

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