Unhappy Valley

Unhappy Valley

Happy Valley, Line of Duty, The Bay, The Gold, Broadchurch, Inspector Morse, Endeavour, Unforgotten, Life on Mars, Ashes to Ashes, Cracker, Vera, Prime Suspect, Bodyguard, Luther, Criminal, Heartbeat, Inspector George Gently, Between the Lines, Foyle’s War. The view we lap up, given the preponderance of TV police dramas, is of basically good hearted, if understandably grumpy, policemen (and the occasional ballsy policewoman) doing their best for us. If they occasionally stretch or break a rule or two, well it’s all…

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It’s evens that there’ll be by-election in Johnson’s seat

It’s evens that there’ll be by-election in Johnson’s seat

The story at Westminster today and no doubt tomorrow will be Boris Johnson’s appearance before the Commomns Privileges committee which is looking at whether he broke the lockdown rules. This morning his defence has been published and it is very reliant on him saying that nobody advised him that some of his actions were wrong and were in breach of the law. Is this going to wash with MPs? Surely it will be argued that someone who has reached the…

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How long before the LAB lead is reduced to single digits?

How long before the LAB lead is reduced to single digits?

March has seen a better set of General Election polling numbers for the Tories then they’ve had in months. The latest from Deltapoll has it down to just 10% What is striking looking at the Wikipedia table above is that the Conservatives are doing markedly better with pollsters that have had prior experience of having the general election polls tested against real results. The pollsters that are showing the biggest Labour margins are new ones that have sprung up since…

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We can all predict Nadine’s Tweets at 10pm on May 4th

We can all predict Nadine’s Tweets at 10pm on May 4th

Today has been the annual local election briefing for the media by the Tory elections specialist Lord Hayward and he made what should prove to be a fairly accurate prediction about Culture Secretary Dorries. True to form in that period after the polls have closed on May 4th and we await the results Hayward suggested she’ll be going on TV arguing that the Tories would have done far better if Johnson had still been in post. In fact in his…

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Could Johnson really lose his seat?

Could Johnson really lose his seat?

Savanta poll: 67% say he should quit if it he found to have lied This is going to be a massive week for the former prime minister Boris Johnson with the report of the Commons Privileges Committee on whether he lied to the House about partygate. A new poll from Savanta finds that 67% of those quizzed say that he should quit if it is found that he did in fact tell a lie to the House of Commons. This…

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Thistle do nicely for Starmer

Thistle do nicely for Starmer

Are Labour set to flower in Scotland? The idée reçue for many, myself included, is that Labour winning a majority at the next election is unlikely due in part of the position they find themselves in Scotland, down to just one MP. Until quite recently the SNP it looked like the SNP prepotency in Scotland would continue but after the recent events where the SNP gone out of their way to step on every available banana skin where it looks…

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Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday

This is quite something, if this happens on Tuesday or some later date, then I suspect it will solidify Trump’s hold on the GOP and Presidential nomination, he could be the American Bobby Sands. I’d expect violence from the treasonous GOP that will outdo the January 6th insurrection, I’m not sure what this will do to the wider betting markets. TSE