Biden edges up a touch in the WH2023 betting -Trump up for nomination
And for the GOP nomination The betting reaction to the court hearing
LAB opens a 40% gap over CON in London
This is the highest YouGov has ever reported Exactly a month on from now we will be pouring over the latest local election results and if the national polls are in any way indicative then the Tories are going to be in for a dreadful night. I’ve almost stopped noticing the voting intention poles because the collapse of the Tory vote and the rise of Labour has been so pronounced and it is very hard to see a possible recovery…
Sturgeon and SNP – many questions remain
One thing’s clear – this won’t help the effort for Scottish independence There is a very big story to be told but as yet we have very little idea as to what it is. What is extraordinary is that someone who appeared as powerful and very much as part of the furniture as Sturgeon is now being probed in a manner that few could have envisaged a couple of days ago. The real big loser here is the effort to…
The dramatic change in the polls since SKS became leader
His predecessor was Corbyn The Tweet from Election Maps shows vividly the change in party fortunes since early April 2020 when Starmer become Labour leader and, of COURSE, Leader of the Opposition. This was at a time when COVID dominated everything and we had just gone into lockdown. So only a part of Labour’s improvement can be put down to the new leader. Other bigger things were happening. I tthink Starmer has done reasonably well and in the past 8…
This looks massive
The Trump case – latest YouGov US polling
The New York court hearing open thread
In the betting Trump now a 29% chance to win WH2024 The first thing I hope we will get is the detail of each of the charges against the former President. At the moment we don’t know. Mike Smithson
Corbyn remains an electoral liability for LAB
The Tories know this very well which is why they always seek to attack Starmer by highlighting his role as part of Corbyn’s cabinet. The current leader’s action against his predecessor would seem to be absolutely right electorally. Corbyn was a total disaster for the party at GE2019 and the more Starmer can go on with these measures the harder it is for the Tories to attack. Corbyn’s leadership of the party was the main thrust of Johnson’s 2019 General…