politicalbetting.com

What will the electorate make of the party with a Latin name? After last night’s launch of Robert Kilroy-Silk’s new party ‘Veritas’, bookmakers William Hill are offering 20/1 that Mr Kilroy-Silk will win Geoff Hoon’s Ashfield seat (Nottinghamshire) at the next election. Hills also offer 16/1 that Veritas will win one or more seats at the next election. So far the market does not appear to be online and we only hope that the bookmaker will allow internet punters to…

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Has the power moved from the party spinners to the bloggers? The January ICM survey for the Guardian discovered that the proportion of adults with internet accesss is now, at 69%, more than two-thirds of the population. Those who have it at home was down at 56% – the balance get their access at work. So we are going into an election camapign with what for many people is a new means of communication which challenges the traditional agenda-setting monopolies…

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Could Tony Blair regret giving up 10 Labour MPs? With just three months to go before a May 5th General Election the order confirming the Scottish Boundary changes has now gone through Parliament. This reduces the number of Scottish seats at the next election from 72 to 59 and has been designed to bring the average size of seats north of the border into line with the rest of the country. At the 2001 General Election Scottish seats had an…

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What’s happened to Kilroy-Silk’s “bloody rightwing fascist nutters” ? With Robert Kilroy-Silk due to launch his new Veritas party tonight the full extent of the damage his departure has done to UKIP is only now becoming clear. All the data from Sunday’s three opinion polls has been made available and shows that Mori had the party on 2% while with Communicate Research and ICM the UKIP shares was down to just 1%, or less than the party achieved at the…

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