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Harry Hayfield on the changes that could end overnight counting Northern Ireland as we know is a law unto itself electorally. Not only do the norms of political convention not apply there (no Labour party or Liberal Democrats), but so the norms of electoral convention. For instance, can you see the returning officer in Sunderland South making a declaration at 10.42AM? Earlier this year the Election Administration Bill was discussed in Parliament and it suggested that maybe Northern Ireland was…

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Focus on Watford Last night, I attended the Primary which chose the Conservative candidate for Watford, at the next election. Ian Oakley was chosen by a huge margin, on the first ballot. Ian is a friend of mine, and was Ali Miraj’s campaign manager in 2005. He worked enormously hard at the last election, and in my opinion, Watford made the right choice in selecting him. Watford incorporates all the wards on Watford Borough Council, together with five wards from…

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Will Yates’s “significant and valuable material” bring the exit forward? Big new developments in the Yates inquiry this afternoon have seen changes in the “Blair leaving date” betting. The price on a Q1 2007 exit has moved in sharply as punters have tried to work out what are the implications of Assistant Commissioner John Yates letter to Tony Wright – the MP who chairs the Public administration select committee. The plan is for the inquiry team to get a file…

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What’s the truth behind the gender gap reports? Over the past couple of weeks there’s been a lot of focus on the big gender gap that is said to have developed in support for the two main parties. This was sparked off by the November Populus Poll in the Times when this was given splash treatment and has been followed up a number of columnists. One of the problems with the Times report was that it was based on just…

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