Con 47 (+2), Lab 23 (-2) LD 18 (0) Is the end now nigh for Gordon? A poll by YouGov in the Telegraph shows that Labour support is at the lowest since polling began in 1943. Brown’s personal popularity on a par with Major’s low Labour’s lowest score under Foot was only 23.5 How much worse can things get for Brown? Double Carpet
Wikipedia A guest article from Cityunslicker Even as the rumours of an imminent challenge to our glorious Prime Minister fade, there is still a good chance of an election before May 2010 – no doubt Tory central office is preparing for this and, hidden from view, may even be preparing a manifesto. The mantra ‘It’s the Economy, Stupid’ is going to hold firm for the next year or two as the UK economic situation worsens, recession or no recession. But…
Please continue today’s discussions here. A reader asks about the Warwick Agreement…. On a related topic to this morning’s article, I’ve received an email from a PB reader: “I am interested about when the above agreement with the unions end, and when the new one starts – I believe the unions are going to give the Labour Government £8million. The question is of course, what they going to get for this money, is it money down the drain for them,…
Click on the panel for the full story. Supporting Politicalbetting In recent weeks several people have asked if there could be a way to make donations to help keep the site going and two people have made generous contributions. To make this easier I’ve now set up a PayPal donations facility. Click on the donate button below. Thank you for all your kind words and ongoing support. Mike Smithson
How will the RBC vote on Michigan and Florida? On Saturday, May 31st 2008, the Marriot Wardman Park Hotel (pictured), the largest hotel in Washington D.C., will play host to the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC). This is the body that will, in the first instance at least, vote on whether to uphold the penalties it meted out to Michigan and Florida – stripping them of all delegates (Pledged and Super-) at the Convention as punishment for bringing their…
Johnson favoured over Miliband by PoliticsHome panel Andrew Rawnsley, at PoliticsHome, has announced the results of one of their Phi100 surveys on the leadership of the Labour Party. He writes: “Labour would have a better chance of winning the next election under a different leader. That’s the strong view of the PHI100, Britain’s most authoritative survey of inside and expert political opinion. Asked which Labour politician would maximise the party’s chances of holding on to power, less than one six…
The BPC rules that Ken’s congestion charge poll must be released Just before I went on holiday the British Polling Council made a ruling on the case against Ipsos-MORI for failing to provide the full data on an opinion poll carried out for Transport for London on the congestion charge. This was highlighted here in February and was the first time that the council has had to hold a formal process over a alleged failure to follow its disclosure provisions….
Which, if any, endorsements made a difference for the Democrats? One of the major features of explaining the primary victories of either candidate in any given state or territory, alongside demographics or previous voting history, has been the litany of endorsements that are collected along the way. However, when we compare the geographical and chronological spread of these endorsements, we see that they frequently appear to be entirely independent of their chosen candidate’s success in that state. I wanted to…