Is Brown’s plight much worse than John Major’s?
Do these 95-97 ICM polls undermine the swing-back theorists? Anybody trying to predict whether Brown’s Labour has any chance at all of turning things round should look at the above table very carefully. For it shows all the Guardian’s ICM surveys for the period from 21 months before the May 1 1997 general election which, of course, brought Blair’s Labour to power in a landslide. Just compare the polling figures from the August of 1995 with what happened at the…