PB Election Countdown: Our new monthly tracker survey

PB Election Countdown: Our new monthly tracker survey

After our Glasgow East success what about the General Election? On the first Friday of every month I’m planning a new tracker survey of the PB community. What are our thoughts about the coming general election? What do we think the outcome is likely to be? Last week, of course, a similar prediction survey for the Glasgow East by-election had it 50:50 between Labour and the SNP with the latter being just a few votes ahead. This compared with the…

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Electoral Commission blow for the anti-Ashcroft plan

Electoral Commission blow for the anti-Ashcroft plan

Will this mean that the Tories will win even more marginals? While the political world has been focussed on Labour’s by-election defeat in Glasgow and the possibility of a challenge to Brown’s leadership there’s another development this morning that has the potential to have an even bigger impact on the outcome of the next general election. For the body that oversees elections – the Electoral Commission – is, according to the main lead on Guardian On-line overnight, suggesting that the…

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Has YouGov got some good news for Dave?

Has YouGov got some good news for Dave?

Is Miliband beating Brown in the Telegraph’s poll? The big Labour leadership news overnight looks set to be a YouGov poll matching Gordon Brown up against the man who he could be facing in a challenge for his job – David Miliband. We have not, as yet, got any numbers but my guess is that it will show that the Foreign Secretary is ahead by a big margin. If that is the case then it will add a new dimension…

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Will Gordon really fight them on the beaches?

Will Gordon really fight them on the beaches?

Screen shot from BBC North East Or would he follow his normal practice and stand aside? One of the strong messages coming from the Brown camp in the past thirty-six hours is that he would not budge and would fight to the end if challenged. By this they mean, I guess, that anybody wanting to take him on would have to go through all of Labour convoluted process which involves, initially, getting one eight of the parliamentary party to support…

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Will polling match-ups be Gord’s secret weapon?

Will polling match-ups be Gord’s secret weapon?

What’s the point of switching leaders if the ratings won’t go up? I’m still in France with only minimal internet access and have been unable to follow the chain of events that David Miliband’s Guardian article has set off. But one thing is clear – the Foreign Secretary’s action has put what people were talking about privately right onto the public agenda and it’s hard to see any going back. The PM’s aides have always been ferocious in the defence…

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So what happens next?

So what happens next?

The Prime Minister’s on his way in Israel – how long has the British one got left? Please continue your discussions here – click on the picture for the full article. Double Carpet

Is Labour really in danger of extinction?

Is Labour really in danger of extinction?

“This is less a leadership crisis and more a crisis of existence” In the midst of all the speculation about the Labour leadership, with “Cameron only” now favourite on the next election leaders market, there’s an interesting piece by Iain Martin in the Telegraph today. He argues that a key mistake Labour made was devolving power to Scotland and Wales and thus giving the nationalists credibility in Labour’s “Celtic redoubt”. “Endangered in England’s largest cities, losers in London, out of…

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At last! Somebody does something on the record

At last! Somebody does something on the record

Is this the start of a bid to oust Brown and become leader?? After days of speculation based on unattributable sources there has been a move in Labour’s leadership crisis by one of the main players and favourite to replace Brown – David Miliband. For the main story on the BBC website overnight, is a report of a feature he’s written for the Guardian setting out what can be seen as a vision on how Labour can turn itself round…

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