politicalbetting.com

Today’s big news is Trump confirming he is going to be indicted next Tuesday, bring a whole new meaning to Super Tuesday. For most politicians this would be a career ender but for Trump this is no impediment, the overwhelmingly member of GOP elected officials appear to defend him no matter what. My strategy based on Trump’s legal problems is to lay him for the general election and back him for the GOP nomination, the following poll backs up my…

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The Times are reporting that Rishi Sunak could publish Boris Johnson’s resignation honours list as early as today, yesterday they reported that Stanley Johnson is still on course to be knighted in these honours. If Rishi Sunak brings dishonour to the honours system by giving a man with a legacy of domestic abuse allegations then Sunak deserves the opprobrium headed his way. The Labour attack posters write themselves, and one thing Sir Keir Starmer has shown, they aren’t delicate flowers…

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When this news broke Alastair Meeks made this observation to me which I wholeheartedly agree with ‘I can’t imagine Boris Johnson would have been given findings in advance to respond to unless they had found him to be in breach.’ My view is that I expect Boris Johnson’s outriders are likely to spend the next few weeks bitterly denouncing the committee which will be further evidence that Boris Johnson is going to be censured by the committee. Because of the…

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Mike Smithson

Best for Britain published the results of another MRP poll on Tuesday, which had the Conservatives winning 129 seats at the next General Election. This was for 28.8% of the vote (excluding don’t knows and non-voters).  That MRP poll was a considerable improvement for the Tories compared with the previous one conducted by Focaldata. In the autumn of last year, they found that the Tories would win just 64 seats. This was with the Tories winning 22.7% of the vote. …

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All the signs are that the Tories are going to struggle to hold onto power at the general election. According to the John Curtice calculation they will need a overall GB vote lead of about 3% to ensure that they have got a majority. Labour by contrast need 7%. Although the polls have edged down a fair bit since their worst moments last year the Tories are still facing a huge struggle in order to put them into a position…

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A couple of days ago I was driving North up the M6 when we stopped at a service station. The car pictured above was was being charged as we arrived and was still being charged when we left after about half an hour. It struck me that having to go through this process once or twice on a trip was an enormous hassle. I remember a conversation with a guy who provided services for the electrical power industry who declared…

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Poor Donald Trump, he spent most of 2016 arguing that Hillary Clinton should be locked up now he might end up being locked up himself. What a failure Trump was, in four years as President with a GOP senate, a GOP House for the first two years, and a SCOTUS with a majority of GOP hacks, he wasn’t able to destroy the deep state. None of this changes my view that Trump will still win the GOP nomination. TSE