politicalbetting.com

Alastair Meeks has alerted me to this interesting aspect on the next Labour leader market as seen in the tweets above. Andy Burnham is currently the Mayor of Greater Manchester, which means he’s also the Police & Crime Commissioner for the area, that prevents him from being concurrently the Mayor and a member of parliament which presents a bit of a problem for Burnham to succeed Starmer. I don’t think Labour could successfully pull off the Earl of Home trick…

Read More Read More

One of the reasons I expect the Tories to be out of office for more than one term is the increase in mortgages and rents inspired by the Liz Truss premiership. This is something the voters do not forget and often take ages to forgive. The only sliver of good news for the Tories is that their elderly base haven’t been as badly impacted as other age groups, which is usually a result of them having paid off their mortgages….

Read More Read More

A boost for Sunak? The big news from Scotland is that the SNP MP for East Kilbride, Liza Cameron, has defected to the Tories. It appears that she intends to remain as an MP so this move boosts the Tory total in the Commons. This is from the PA report: An SNP MP who defected to the Tories has claimed she and her family have had to go into hiding as a result of threats of violence she has received….

Read More Read More

As the crisis in the Middle East continues to dominate the headlines this looks set to be a major part the political background during which the general election campaign will take place. Polling like the above is going to be very important. We have seen how Starmer’s approach is getting a lot of coverage and clearly Sunak’s views are going to be very important. The critical of Israel figure against those who think it should be more supportive could develop…

Read More Read More

It is hard to see Sunak being CON leader in 18 months time. A general election will have had to have taken place during that time period and it is very hard on current polling that there will be anything other than a LAB majority. The real problem is that the Tories have been in power since May 2010 and there is a big desire for change. Switching the leader several times has had not marked impact on the public…

Read More Read More