There’s still a big gap for the Tories to surount
Hard to see anything other than a big LAB majority
The Tories tighter than evens to retain Mid Bedfordshire
How death and ill health have ceased to be the main causes of by-elections
This from the 205-2010 parliament This parliament we have seen a huge change in how Westminster by-elections are triggered. It used to be that death of the incumbent MP was the main reason. These days that hardly ever happens. Now it is the behaviour of MPs. Mike Smithson
The polling chart that won’t help Sunak keep his job
Would the Tories do better with another change of leader? At the weekend yet another pollster, Opinium, came out with Sunak’s ratings in sharp decline and there is little doubt that Rishi is struggling with public opinion. The chart says it all with the PM’s net rating down to minus 30%. As we get closer to the latest date that the election has to be held the main parties take stock of themselves and inevitably the question is raised over…
And so the world awaits the next stage of the Gaza conflict
Andy Burnham backers please explain yourselves
Alastair Meeks has alerted me to this interesting aspect on the next Labour leader market as seen in the tweets above. Andy Burnham is currently the Mayor of Greater Manchester, which means he’s also the Police & Crime Commissioner for the area, that prevents him from being concurrently the Mayor and a member of parliament which presents a bit of a problem for Burnham to succeed Starmer. I don’t think Labour could successfully pull off the Earl of Home trick…
It’s the housing costs, stupid?
One of the reasons I expect the Tories to be out of office for more than one term is the increase in mortgages and rents inspired by the Liz Truss premiership. This is something the voters do not forget and often take ages to forgive. The only sliver of good news for the Tories is that their elderly base haven’t been as badly impacted as other age groups, which is usually a result of them having paid off their mortgages….
East Kilbride SNP MP defects to the Tories
A boost for Sunak? The big news from Scotland is that the SNP MP for East Kilbride, Liza Cameron, has defected to the Tories. It appears that she intends to remain as an MP so this move boosts the Tory total in the Commons. This is from the PA report: An SNP MP who defected to the Tories has claimed she and her family have had to go into hiding as a result of threats of violence she has received….