Turkish delight for Erdogan from Elon Musk

Turkish delight for Erdogan from Elon Musk

What I know about Turkish politics is only matched by what Boris Johnson knows about honesty or fidelity to his wives but this intervention from Elon Musk’s Twitter is effectively helping the President of Turkey censor his opponents, the day before the Turkish general election. Democrats around the world should be outraged and worried about this intervention from the so called free speech champion Elon Musk, if this can happen in Turkey then it can happen anywhere and impact general…

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The Tories are becoming a byword for ungovernable

The Tories are becoming a byword for ungovernable

What happens if there’s no improvement in the polls for the Tories or the polls gets worse for the Tories? The reality is Rishi Sunak isn’t very good, he lost to Liz Truss, who lost to a lettuce, only her implosion led to Sunak become Prime Minister, he only looks good because his two immediate predecessors were so bad there isn’t an adjective in the English language to accurately describe them. Alastair Meeks makes this observation (before last night’s Opinium)…

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A 25% swing from Leave puts Remain on 73% and a 46% lead over Leave

A 25% swing from Leave puts Remain on 73% and a 46% lead over Leave

Tonight is Eurovision night and it being held in Liverpool, home of the six times European Cup/Champions League winners. My usual strategy is to lay Le Royaume-Uni, which became a risky strategy last year. My two longshot bets for tonight are Croatia and Israel. I don’t expect the favourites Sweden to win, I would sooner listen to Katie Price covering a Radiohead track. TSE

Why I’m not convinced by LAB’S double digit poll leads

Why I’m not convinced by LAB’S double digit poll leads

I have raised this before about current polling and there has not been any real change in the fact that a significant proportion of GE2019 CON voters continue to tell pollsters that they don’t know. The chart based on the last Opinium poll numbers shows the current breakdown of voting intention by those who backed the Tories at the last general election. As can be seen 24% of those who voted for Johnsone’s party in December 2019 are currently telling…

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Starmer looks set to become PM but will LAB have a majority?

Starmer looks set to become PM but will LAB have a majority?

Last week’s locals weren’t quite as good as many within the Labour Party hoped but there is little doubt that the party is in good position to win back power at the next election. The big question is whether Starmer will have an overall majority or not and on that there are differing views. Thus in the immediate aftermath of the May 4th results, the leading commentator and analyst John Rentoul was reporting Prof John Curtice that there would be…

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The Archbishop’s attack on the small boats plan makes several front pages

The Archbishop’s attack on the small boats plan makes several front pages

The big question over the Archbichop’s attack on Sunak’s small boats clampdown is whether it impacts public opinion and is likely to encourage other opponents of to step up their opposition. The most recent YouGov poll on the issue had 50% backing Sunak and 36% opposing. My guess is that the split will be tighter following his intervention. It could also impact on the courts and how judges deal with the cases that are likely to arise. It also put…

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Sentence first – verdict afterwards

Sentence first – verdict afterwards

It is again time to review what the “intellectually challenged from the neck up” party (© Joanna Cherry) – or the SNP as it is usually known – is up to. Having finally found an auditor (though, rather embarrassingly for a pro-independence party, there was not one auditor anywhere in Scotland willing or able to take on the job) the Holyrood government has decided to reform the Scottish criminal justice system. In one of his previous roles as Justice Minister,…

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