ComRes: ITV News/Independent Apr 11 Apr 8 CONSERVATIVES 37% 39% LABOUR 30% 32% LIB DEMS 20% 16% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 5% The Independent has teamed up with ITV news to do two general election polls a week – the first of which appears this evening. The gap is the same as the last ComRes poll – the big difference being that both Labour and the Tories are down two each with Clegg’s party moving up four….
You can see more of Marf’s work at LondonSketchbook.com Meanwhile the gap gets closer with ICM ICM – Guardian Apr 11 Apr 9 CONSERVATIVES 37% 38% LABOUR 31% 30% LIB DEMS 20% 21% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4.5% 5.5% Even though the changers are within the margin of error this poll might just cause a few jitters at Cameron Towers for the gap has closed a touch and the party is even further off that 40 point threshold….
The cover of the Labour manifesto Several polls due out tonight and I’m hoping for a Marf cartoon on the Labour manifesto. At least two of the polls won’t be out until 10pm and I plan to do a polling round-up of the day. Mike Smithson
My broad impression so far is that Labour has been smart to have the launch in front of an appreciative, presumably hand-picked, audience. Brown is a confidence politician and the more the crowd is behind him the better he comes over. That’s working out well – the only danger of this is if the media start commenting on it and this becomes the story. Let’s see how all this gets reported. As to the details – who cares? Elections are…
ICM Marginals poll Voted CON 2005 Voted LAB 2005 Voted LD 2005 B “I think I know who I’ll vote for but could change my mind” 18% 25% 31%
YG daily poll – The Sun Apr 11 Apr 10 CONSERVATIVES 37% 40% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 20% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4.5% 5.5% Following the launch of the official campaign we are now getting the YouGov daily poll every day and tonight sees the first one where the fieldwork started on a Saturday evening and finished this evening. This is a sampling period that we have no past experience of and it will be interesting…
This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 10 Apr 40 32 18 10 8 BPIX 10 Apr 38 31 20 11 7 ICM 10 Apr 38 30 21 11 8 ComRes 10 Apr 39…
Is Dale right – “this is the smartest poster yet”? Iain Dale has blogged on this suggesting that it’s smart because “it’s what most voters think”. I think he’s wrong and that the poster is a mistake. Are UKIP trying to put not voting at all on the same level as voting UKIP? UKIP have a good message on the EU – why not stick with it? And I’m not so sure whether using what many consider to be a…