The evening Olympics thread
Australia now overtake the county of Bedfordshire in the gold medal league table — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 7, 2012
General election betting – most seats
Bestbetting odds comparison site The best value bet, surely, is 10/11 on Labour The chart shows the trend of best prices on the General Election most seats markets. This is not one I have entered yet simply because I don’t want to lock money up for two and a half years. Some people are punting and the value bet at the moment must be the 10/11 price on Labour winning most seats. The boundary changes were/are not the universal panacea…
The impact of reverting to the 2010 electoral map
Election outcome < New boundaries Old boundaries LAB MAJORITY LAB LEAD 4.3% LAB LEAD 3% LAB MOST SEATS CON LEAD below 2.2% CON LEAD below 4% CON MOST SEATS CON LEAD above 2.2% CON LEAD 4% CON MAJORITY CON LEAD above 7.4% CON LEAD 11% How the Lords reform rebellion has cost the Tories Following yesterday’s statement from Nick Clegg on the abandonment of Lords reform the working assumption must now be that the next general election will be fought...
It’s situation normal at the Olympics
The GB golds keep on coming
It looks like the new boundaries are in trouble
Clegg will says abandoned elected Lords means no strengthened executive check in Lords and that means smaller Commons must go too. — Patrick Wintour (@patrickwintour) August 6, 2012 Clegg prepares to make statement on Lords reform Who said that August was going to be a quiet political month? Patrick Wintour of the Guardian has Tweeted what I understand will be the essence of Nick Clegg’s statement on Lords reform this afternoon. It looks as though the ground is being prepared…
Could Louise Mensch’s seat provide the opening for a Boris return?
Northants Telegraph Would the Mayor stand in the Corby by-election This was the result from May 2010. CON 42.2 LAB 38.6 LD 14.5 BNP 4.7 More followsGiven the way the polls have moved since the election then a LAB gain must be a nailed on certainty. But could Boris stop the rot? Would this be a great platform for a return to the commons? Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB
ConHome activists have got it wrong on UKIP voters
It’s wrong to assume that UKIP backers are “Tories on Holiday” Tucked away behind the Times paywall is a story this morning about a new ComHome survey of the so-called “Tory grass-roots” that suggests that a significant proportion think that a deal with UKIP would boost their chances at the next election. It says that “Six out of ten think such a move would boost the party’s electoral hopes by bridging the divide on the right of British politics”. But…
Yes – why is Osborne so strong in the next leader betting?
@msmithsonpb Any idea why Osborne 2nd fav to be next Tory leader with Betfair? — Basil Seal (@Thatcher007) August 5, 2012 Currently Betfair have Boris at 5.2/1 with Osborne at 6.6/1.