The polls and the early voting suggest that Ohio is moving away from Mitt Romney

The polls and the early voting suggest that Ohio is moving away from Mitt Romney

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Little by little Ohio edges slowly away from Mitt Romney. See latest Real Clear Politics chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2012 And on Betfair the Obama price moves to a 1/2 Real Clear Politics , which has been a leader in poll averaging in the US is quite selective about the polls that go into its calculation. It includes those where the field-work is carried out by robo-calling but does not take into account online surveys. Be…

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Suddenly Theresa May comes into the frame as Dave’s successor

Suddenly Theresa May comes into the frame as Dave’s successor

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Theresa May could do to Cameron what Maggie Thatcher did to Heath. 12/1 for next Tory leader. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2012 Some CON MPs think she’s “on manoeuvres” I was very struck by a Telegraph article a couple of days ago from ex-Tory front-bencher and now CONHome blogger, Paul Goodman under the heading “Mrs May might – why Tories are tipping Theresa May for the very top”. This is how he started:- “If you are a…

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After the Donald Trump damp squib and Gallup the betting sentiment moves back to Obama

After the Donald Trump damp squib and Gallup the betting sentiment moves back to Obama

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Today’s polls from the swing states Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen) New Hampshire: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen) New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Lake Research) Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 44% (Time) Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA) Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen) Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Lake Resaearch) Virginia: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Old Dominion University) Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby) Just a reminder about tomorrow night We are having our third Dirty Dicks gathering…

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Last week seem to have taken its toll on Dave

Last week seem to have taken its toll on Dave

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Lacklustre performance from Dave at PMQs twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 24, 2012 Cam looks tired. Oyster eyes. Always said he looks like a young Willie Whitelaw. #PMQs — Iain Martin (@iainmartin1) October 24, 2012 PMQs; Ed Mili pretty confident, but Cameron has his tail up now the economic news is getting better… — tom bradby (@tombradby) October 24, 2012 Not up to his usual PMQ form & Ed has his tail up Many observers think that Dave had…

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The betting sentiment moves a couple of notches to Romney

The betting sentiment moves a couple of notches to Romney

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Betfair punters move the Romney price up – see chart showing movement over past 24 hours twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 24, 2012 What will Donald Trump’s news do? Given how tight the national polling is it has, I’d suggest, been quite surprising that even as late as yesterday afternoon you could still get Romney at 2/1 on Betfair. That’s moved a fair bit since then and the question is whether this switch will run out of steam –…

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The reported Trump story that the Obamas were on the point of divorce might not have the intended effect

The reported Trump story that the Obamas were on the point of divorce might not have the intended effect

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Has the Mail got the the bottom of the “huge” Donald trump story about Obama – and will it impact on the race/ twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2012 Such muck-raking could help the President Over the past 36 hours there’s been much speculation over the “huge” announcement that Donald Trump has promised for tomorrow about Barack Obama. This evening the Daily Mail reported that Trump is to reveal divorce papers. We don’t know anything more than the…

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Marf on the day the D-G of the BBC was grilled by MPs

Marf on the day the D-G of the BBC was grilled by MPs

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Prints or originals of Marf’s PB cartoons make great presents and I know that quite a number of PBers have acquired them either for gifts or to keep themselves. If you would like to purchase one please contact her here. For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB

Ashcroft poll shows Labour heading for big victory in Louise Mensch’s old seat

Ashcroft poll shows Labour heading for big victory in Louise Mensch’s old seat

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Pie chart show how vote splits in Aschroft’s Corby by-election poll. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2012 Just 48% of the Corby voters who supported Louise Mensch in 2010 tell Ashcroft’s poll that they’ll vote CON in by-election. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2012 Surprisingly given national polls only 5% of 2010 CON voters in Corby say they’ll be voting UKIP. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2012 Just 2 out of 1,503 sample tell Ashcroft’s Corby…

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