NBC Calls it for Obama
And Fox calls Ohio for Obama TSE
2am Continuation thread
Losing Michigan must be a blow for Romney, the state of his birth and the state his was father was the Governor of. TSE
Virginia Exit poll shows a tie
A CNN exit poll has the two candidates tied in Virginia at 49/49 TSE
As we approach the end of voting the Romney price edges up. Obama punters seem a bit nervous.
Romney making recovery on Betfair. Are Obama punters getting nervous? See Romney price chart over 12 hours twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 This is the timetable for tonight thanks to Politicalwire showing when voting ends in each state. 0000 GA, IN, KY, SC, VT, VA 0030 NC, OH, WV 0100 AL, CT, DE, DC, FL, IL, ME, MD, MA, MS, MO, NH, NJ, OK, PA, RI, TN 0130 AR 0200 AZ, CO, KS, LA, MI, MN, NE,…
Could Nadine jump ship to UKIP? It’s now evens that an MP will defect before the general election
Could Nadine’s suspension provoke her into switching to UKIP? Has the chief whip been too harsh? bit.ly/RGG3cR twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 Her suspension might just provoke a switch Ladbrokes have tonight tightened the odds to evens that there’ll be a defection to UKIP during this parliament. This follows the move by the Chief Whip to suspend Nadine Dorries as a Conservative MP because she’s taking part in he latest series of “I’m a celebrity get me…
A Marf prediction cartoon and the PB-William Hill White House competition
This cartoon on forecasting the US election will be going up on Politicalbetting.com later. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 How do you think you are going to do? Election day and thanks to Marf for her cartoon on Nate Silver. As many will recall thanks to the generosity of William Hill we were able to launch in September the 2012 White House Race prediction competition. All you had to do was guess the vote share winner gap,down…
Exactly half way through this Parliament and the “glue” that keeps the coalition together is Labour’s lead in the polls
Today’s the mid-point in the 2010-2015 parliament and coalition wrangling has never been greater. Can it last? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 The splits are becoming greater by the week? We’ve been so focussed on the US election that we’ve hardly looked at domestic politics for some time that perhaps this morning we should focus on the coalition. For it is exactly two and a half years today from the general election and we are half way…
Just 0.4 percentage points separate the two men on the eve of the election
The final swing state polls from Politicalwire, Colorado: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling) Florida: Romney 52%, Obama 47% (InsiderAdvantage) Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling) Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Pulse Opinion Research) Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Zogby) Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (UNF) Iowa: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (American Research Group) New Hampshire: Obama 51%, Romney 48% (WMUR) New Hampshire: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (American Research Group) New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (New…