Tory anti-wind farm campaigners have a long way to go winning CON voter support let alone the general public

Tory anti-wind farm campaigners have a long way to go winning CON voter support let alone the general public

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How the general public and CON voters specifically view wind farms. YouGov Oct 19 2012. See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2012 Shouldn’t Tories back their leader on renewable energy? On the eve of the Corby by-election a secretly filmed video has been made public showing that the CON MP, Chris Heaton-Harris, managing the Tory campaign was supporting the abortive candidature of the Telegraph’s James Delingpole. This is a hugely serious issue in any party and Heaton-Harris…

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Calling the bookmakers – what about some interesting markets for Thursday’s elections?

Calling the bookmakers – what about some interesting markets for Thursday’s elections?

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@emcg67The competition for voters’ attention in mid-Beds. The first electoral test for Nadine?? twitter.com/EMcG67/status/… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 13, 2012 What about the Nadine effect in her area? Thursday will see the second biggest set of elections in the UK before the general election. The party machines are now getting wound up for the 41 Police and Crime Commissioner elections, the Bristol mayor, three Westminster by-elections an a whole host of small votes. In Bedfordshire the Tory campaign has…

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Trust in BBC journalists declines sharply – but still ahead of every other sector of the media

Trust in BBC journalists declines sharply – but still ahead of every other sector of the media

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Great table from YouGov on their “Trust Tracker”.Though there’s been a big decline BBC journos still most trusted twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 13, 2012 The polling impact of recent traumatic events Some interesting data published by YouGov which it calls its “TrustTracker”. Inevitably given the current series of issues the BBC was going to take a hit but what is also interesting is how most of the other media has also shown a decline. I love getting data…

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YouGov suggests that turnout in the PCC elections is going to be higher than expected. Time to bet?

YouGov suggests that turnout in the PCC elections is going to be higher than expected. Time to bet?

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If YouGov’s finding on likely turnout in Thursday’s PCC election is correct then taking the 5/6 at 20%+ is a good bet twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 13, 2012 Should we be a bit cautious about the findings? Ladbrokes have adjusted their PCC elections turnout bet following the YouGov poll at the weekend that had 28% in the areas where elections will be held saying they were 10/10 certain to vote. On the face of it this makes the…

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For entrants to the PB-William Hill White House competition the waiting goes on. It’ll be a few days before we get the final figures

For entrants to the PB-William Hill White House competition the waiting goes on. It’ll be a few days before we get the final figures

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Latest popular vote figures from #WH2012 see here. Obama lead now 2.7%. Still several million votes to come twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2012 @weslangley The £1000 PB/William Hill WH2012 comp will be settled when we havefinal figs. Ohio doesn’t declare fully until Nov 17 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2012 @joshdixontweets A number of states accept postal absentee ballots for several days after election provided they are post-marked Nov 6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12,…

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The Tories are seeking to bribe several smaller parties to secure their 20 seat boundary bonus

The Tories are seeking to bribe several smaller parties to secure their 20 seat boundary bonus

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The Tories launch a multi-party effort to save their 20 seat boundary bonus, www7.politicalbetting.com/?p=53646 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2012 This could decide the general election Judging from press reports and other initiatives over the weekend the Tories have launched a multi-pronged effort to try to secure the new parliamentary seat boundaries which give them a 20 seat bonus and make the possibility of a majority that bit more possible. The first focus has been on their coalition…

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Thursday’s battle for the city of Bristol could be tight – is there money to be made?

Thursday’s battle for the city of Bristol could be tight – is there money to be made?

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LAB hot odds-on favourites in the biggest mayoral battle outside London. See latest Bristol odds. bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2012 Shadsy from Ladbrokes assesses the chances Thursday sees the vote for the first directly elected Mayor of Bristol. Ladbrokes have had a book open on this since the city voted to create the post earlier in the year and here’s our guide to the runners, riders and market moves so far 1/2 Marvin Rees (Lab) 4/1…

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