Maybe, just maybe, voters are starting to believe that the NHS is safe in Tory hands

Maybe, just maybe, voters are starting to believe that the NHS is safe in Tory hands

If the trend in the Ipsos MORI Issues index is correct then the NHS is not as politically potent as it was.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 20, 2012 Concern about the service drops to lowest level since election Last night the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index for December was published and one of the highlights was the decline in the numbers of those saying that the NHS was an important issue facing the country. The Index operates in a…

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Concerns about the economy and jobs continue to top the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

Concerns about the economy and jobs continue to top the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

The economy and unemployment remain the main issues that those sampled by Ipsos MORI say are the most important twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2012 The December Ipsos-MORI Issues Index is out and the main converns and changes are listed above. This survey has been carried out in the same way for 37 years and involves respondents being asked to list what they think are the main concerns facing the country. Uniquely this is done without any prompting…

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Is it time to be betting on an Andrew Mitchell comeback?

Is it time to be betting on an Andrew Mitchell comeback?

Will Cameron now give Andrew Mitchell his old job back? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2012 The Sun stands by our initial #plebgate story. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) December 18, 2012 What’s Dave going to do? If the Channel 4 allegations the “Plebgate” affair are found to be accurate, and I for one found Michael Crick’s report convincing, then the PM will be under pressure to reinstate Andrew Mitchell to his old job as soon as possible….

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The Andrew Mitchell affair – this Channel 4 report is a must watch

The Andrew Mitchell affair – this Channel 4 report is a must watch

No 10 “allegations a serving police officer posed as member of public and fabricated evidence against a Cab Min are exceptionally serious”. — Patrick Wintour (@patrickwintour) December 18, 2012 There was, of course, a lively betting market during the few weeks before Mitchell stepped down. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

Lord Ashcroft: The UKIP threat is not about Europe

Lord Ashcroft: The UKIP threat is not about Europe

Following on from last night’s phone polls from Populus and ComRes which showed UKIP  vote share increasing with the phone pollsters, Lord Ashcroft has published some polling on UKIP, from which we learn [The] research finds that 12% of those who voted Tory in 2010 now say they would vote UKIP in an election tomorrow. Half of all those who would consider voting UKIP supported the Conservatives at the last election. The graphic below shows which of the following issues is the most important…

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