A reminder to Tory leadership plotters: The party is a drag on Dave not the other way round – See Ipsos-MORI polling twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Ladbrokes move the “Dave’ll be out” before #GE2015 odds in from 10/1 to 7/1. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB
Is Hillary Clinton going to run in #WH2016?On Betfair she’s 5/2 favourite to get nomination even though she’ll be 69 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Would this be a contest too far or success at last? After twenty years at or near the centre of US political life, and four years of Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton can now finally put her feet up and enjoy retirement. Or she can start seriously planning the presidential campaign everyone’s…
Nice chart from Ipsos-MORI showing the fortunes of the leaders since Jun 2010. Cameron is down nearly as much as Clegg twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013
Henry G Manson on Friday The fallout from the abandonment in boundary changes is already leading to recriminations. The latest upshot from the Conservative Party is to tap into the anger of large donors and target even more Liberal Democrat MPs held seats ahead of 2015. This will delight a number of Conservative MPs and the increasing number apparently frustrated with the Coalition. But it is not without risk. The firm assumption for some time has been that the Coalition…
Today’s LAB YouGov share up to 44% – 12% ahead of CON.Chart shows that the DC EU speech bounce is over twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 55% tell Ashcroft that they want a LAB maj or LAB-LD coalition Lord Ashcroft phone poll finds that 55% want a LAB majority or LAB-LD coalition. 45% want CON maj or CON-LD coalition twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 Lord Ashcroft poll finds that 30% want to see the…
Harry Hayfield previews the contests Woolaston and Stourbridge Town (Dudley) Result of most recent council election (2012): Labour 41, Conservatives 30, Greens 1 (Labour overall majority of 10) Last Local Election (2012): Lab 2,714 (39%), Con 2,238 (32%), Lib Dem 913 (13%), UKIP 718 (10%), Green 393 (6%) Labour GAIN from Conservative  The electors of Stourbridge must be thinking there’s a great deal of déjà vu going on. Back in 1997, they were part of the hotly contested Stourbridge…
Nick Clegg tells LBC that he intends to be LD leader after #GE2015. Ladbrokes make him 1/3 FAV to hold Shef Hallam twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 The Ladbrokes Sheffield Hallam betting.bit.ly/c5gpH6 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013
LAB leads remains at 9% with YouGov. The trend is starting to suggest that DC referendum promise not a game-changer. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 Ed Miliband closes gap in YouGov’s Best PM ratings.Cam was 10% ahead – now 8% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 31, 2013 Day to day movements in the polling are being watched very closely at the moment following the Cameron EU speech eight days ago. The latest, this morning, has CON 33:…