Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events. If you’ve always been a lurker, and you Wannabe be a poster on PB, then this thread is for you, Spice Up Your Life by posting on PB, Stop being a lurker. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Ed Miliband, the new Ronald Reagan? Ed Miliband, the new Bill Clinton?…
Leader Net Rating Jan 12 Net Rating Feb 13 Change Alex Salmond Plus 22 Plus 7 Minus 15 Ruth Davidson Minus 12 Minus 4 Plus 8 Johann Lamont Minus 6 Plus 8 Plus 14 Willie Rennie Minus 12 Minus 7 Plus 5 David Cameron Minus 28 Minus 40 Minus 12 The above table shows the net leadership ratings from Ipsos-Mori Scotland polling series in the last year, and the change therein. As we can see there has…
The Nationalists Strike Back Ipsos-Mori have polled for the Times on Scottish Independence, the changes are from their last poll in October. The poll, which asked the same question as the one now certain to be on the referendum ballot paper next year — Should Scotland be an independent country? Yes 34% (+4) No 55% (-3) Undecided 11% (-1) What appears to be behind the increase the support in Independence is according to the Times’ article is an extraordinary surge…
Last night Labour selected John O’Farrell as their candidate for the Eastleigh by-election, this predictably attracted a lot of comment, and some movement in the betting. Such as the below tweet by the Political Editor of the Sun. By selecting John O’Farrell, have Labour made #Eastleigh a Tory win? He’ll take 1,000+ votes off the Libs. Tories delighted. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) February 13, 2013 My first instinct was to back Labour on Ladbrokes’ match vote bet with UKIP, and…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events. If you’ve always been a lurker, I hope you can, Find the Time, to post on pb, I’m sure you’ll, Shine, as a contributor on PB. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Labour select John O’Farrell as their candidate for Eastleigh. Occasional PB contributor, Hopi Sen, reviews the recent polling….
I know how much PBers like talking about electoral voting systems and processes. Fortunately Ladbrokes and Paddy Power have put up betting markets on how many ballots it will take to elect a new Pope, to compliment their who will be next Pope Markets. In the most recent elections, when Pope Benedict was elected, it took four ballots, his predecessor John-Paul II was elected after eight ballots, whilst his predecessor John-Paul I was elected after four ballots. From the reports I’ve read,…
A lot of factors go into a voter’s decision of which party (or none) will receive the little mark on the ballot paper next to their name; issues, party image (present and past), local situation are all in the mix somewhere alongside other factors, arguing about the exact recipe keeps professional political scientists (and amateur psephological nerds) in comfortable arguments. For some time now YouGov have been running two types of regular issues polling, one asking which party they support…
Ukip select their candidate for #Eastleigh. So only Labour to go. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 11, 2013 Could she make inroads into the Tory vote According the Ukip she’s been chosen for her “Tory appeal” – read all about her here The next few days on PB I’m on the train to Edinburgh in the morning for a three day visit during which I’m doing a presentation at the Scottish Parliament on polling and other matters. I’m really…