Tories move up 5pc in first full voting intention poll since the autumn statement

Tories move up 5pc in first full voting intention poll since the autumn statement

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Osborne has a YouGov lead of 10% as best chancellor. Just 55% of LAB voters backed Ed Balls — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 8, 2013 On Friday YouGov was showing a 12% lead from a poll where the fieldwork mostly took place before Osborne’s autumn statement. It was way out of line with previous polls and did look like an outlier. Today’s YouGov for the Sunday Times is in chart above and as we can see there are big changes….

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ConHome survey: Tory party members getting more gloomy about their prospects for GE 2015

ConHome survey: Tory party members getting more gloomy about their prospects for GE 2015

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Paul Goodman of ConHome reports today on the latest survey of how Conservative party members assess their chances for the next general election. The totals in the chart above aggregate those expecting a majority (now 20%), those expecting a CON minority government (19%) and those who think that there’ll be another coalition (16%). Interestingly the 20% CON majority segment is quite close to the latest trades on the Betfair GE2015 outcome market. The chart tracks very much the percieved impact…

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Osborne could have a branding problem that would make him an electoral liability

Osborne could have a branding problem that would make him an electoral liability

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pic.twitter.com/Wv1pnN50y8 — PolPics (@PolPics) December 7, 2013 Voters turn against when told that a plan has his backing Yesterday’s Ipsos-MORI poll on the Autumn Statement raises an issue that could be troublesome for the Tories as they head into the general election – a branding problem when George Osborne is involved. Back in March the firm asked people to choose between two statements about the best way to deal with Britain’s economic difficulties – either tackling the national debt or…

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Local By-Election Results : December 5th 2013

Local By-Election Results : December 5th 2013

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Riverside (Lab Defence) and Splott (Lab Defence) on Cardiff Riverside: Result: Lab 1,120 (50% +2%), Plaid 773 (35% +4%), Con 107 (5% -3%), UKIP 97 (4%), TUSC 70 (3% +2%), Lib Dem 58 (3% -1%) Labour HOLD on a swing of 1% from Labour to Plaid Splott: Result: Lab 706 (40% -14%), Lib Dem 604 (34% +4%), UKIP 209 (12%), Ind 94 (5%), Con 86 (5% unchanged), TUSC 80 (4% +3%) Labour HOLD on a swing of 9% from Labour…

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What we can learn from Nelson Mandela

What we can learn from Nelson Mandela

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QUOTESERNESTHEMINGWAY Henry G Manson gives his views The passing of Nelson Mandela gives cause to reflect on his life, struggles and achievements. His gigantic life is something so many have drawn from, particularly following his release from imprisonment 23 years ago. It’s the character of the man is what gave him his worldwide authority. It’s should give cause to pause for a moment and consider how we might better serve our country and each other through the political lessons Mandela…

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Bookending the 20th Century: South Africa’s gifts to Humanity

Bookending the 20th Century: South Africa’s gifts to Humanity

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pic.twitter.com/6Ua7E8MkUS — PolPics (@PolPics) December 6, 2013 In ancient Rome, the passing of great leaders would be marked by their elevation to the status of gods.  While religion has moved on, the death of Nelson Mandela will no doubt see an equivalent secular process – and rightly so.  In captivity, his name motivated a movement; in office, it symbolised unity; in retirement, it became iconic; in death, the transformation to legendary status will become complete. Few men, and fewer women,…

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Local By-Elections Preview: December 5th 2013

Local By-Elections Preview: December 5th 2013

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Riverside (Lab Defence) and Splott (Lab Defence) on Cardiff Result of last election (2012): Lab 46, Lib Dem 16, Con 7, Ind 3, Plaid 2, Heath Independents 1 (Labour overall majority of 17) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes Elected Riverside: Labour 1,731, 1,555, 1,431 (48%) Plaid Cymru 1,153, 944, 940 (31%) Greens 294, 272, 189 (8%) Conservatives 286, 276, 263 (8%) Liberal Democrats 142, 129, 122 (4%) Trade Unionists and Socialists 99 (1%) Candidates duly nominated:…

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