Overall LAB has had pretty steady start to 2014 This morning we’ve got the first Populus online survey of the year which has LAB back on 40% with CON down 2% to 33%. All just about within the margin of error. This follows the first week of YouGov daily polls which has had the Tories solidly on 32% with LAB ranging from 37% to 40%. The LDs have been on 9/10% while UKIP has been in the 12-14% range. All…
Huge UKIP GAIN from CON at Haverhill East on St Edmundsbury DC UKIP 529 Lab 240 Con 157 LD 54 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2014 If this is the shape of things to come all the main parties are in trouble Vote share changes from 2011 in the Haverhill, Suffolk, district council by election UKIP 54% +54 LAB 24.5% -12.7 CON 16% -31.9 LD 5.5% -9.4 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2014 The one qualification was that the turnout, at 18.5%, was very low. Even…
Haverhill East on St. Edmundsbury (Con Defence) Result of last election to council (2011): Con 38, Ind 4, Lab 3 (Conservative overall majority of 31 Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 834, 664, 662 (55%) Labour 648, 636 (33%) Liberal Democrats 260, 188 (12%) Candidates duly nominated: Tony Brown (UKIP), Pat Hanlon (Lab), David Roach (Con), Ken Rolph (Lib Dem) This will be the fourth by-election to St. Edmundsbury since the 2011 local elections and…
I’ve put this chart up before because it is so important in understanding the dynamics of the IndyRef campaign. For whenever YES is presented with a new poll they respond with what happened three years ago. And who can blame them? SLAB had built up big leads in just about all the Holyrood polls and the speculation was that the SNP would lose power that May and the red team would be back in with the possibility of an overall…
The result from Wythenshawe & Sale E at GE2010 Looks like a LAB hold on reduced turnout but could UKUP do something? pic.twitter.com/Sfkud1U3my — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 8, 2014 The purples can’t go on getting good 2nd places – they need MPs The sad and untimely death at the age of 60 of the popular former minister, Paul Goggins, creates what could be a tricky by-election defence for Labour and an opportunity for UKIP. For in spite of all the…
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. To you lurkers, why not delurk? Once you delurk, you won’t be saying Oh My God, what have I done, you’ll be saying Lurking, Every Day I Love You Less and Less. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Nick Clegg tweets ‘Ed Balls’ to signal…
Chart from @ChrisGiles on how the welfare budget split State pension, surely, should not be regarded as a benefit pic.twitter.com/ex9R9d1gZz — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 8, 2014 @GuidoFawkes @MSmithsonPB Er, its Osborne who talks about welfare which brigades the lot together. — John McTernan (@johnmcternan) January 8, 2014 It’s time the terminology was changed Eighteen months ago I started to receive my state pension after I’d deferred it for a year. Before this was granted there were checks that I had…
It’s time to make your predictions for 2014… It’s going to be a busy year ahead – the Euros, Scotland, and the world’s four biggest democracies all voting. Who’ll win the UK Euro-Elections, and will Scotland be on the road to independence by the end of the year? Will the coalition still be in place at Christmas? It’s time to dust off your crystal ball and make your competition predictions for 2014. As before the competition is being hosted by…