The battle over Labour’s planned 50 percent tax rate: Day 3

The battle over Labour’s planned 50 percent tax rate: Day 3

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http://t.co/pBkzxMviTW pic.twitter.com/uaMWjpAiOY — PolPics (@PolPics) January 27, 2014 I’ve just been on Radio 4’s the World at One talking about the polling on the 50% tax rate and Labour on the economy. I’ll post a link when it become avaiable. The Tory attacks have been long and strong and, no doubt, this will be one of the big battles at GE2015 but just how important is managing the economy? To my mind this from the recent Lord Ashcroft poll sets…

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Most current polling movement is between CON and UKIP with LAB and LD relatively stable

Most current polling movement is between CON and UKIP with LAB and LD relatively stable

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Check out the interactive chart Each week, as we know, YouGov carries out four polls for the Sun and one for its News International stable-mate, the Sunday Times. The result is a mass of polling data that sometimes it is hard to see the big picture. This is the reaon why over the past few weeks I have been producing a weekly average of the party shares YouGov daily polls in order that this might be a good way of…

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The international hot potato that is internet betting

The international hot potato that is internet betting

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The politics of banning online gambling Hardly a week goes by without online gambling being in the news somehow. This burgeoning industry rakes in over $20 billion worldwide every year according to the latest H2 Gambling estimates. Therefore, it isn’t surprising that governments everywhere are eyeing the multi-million pot with great interest, though the reasons behind this interest aren’t always the same. Politics has always played an important hand in the fate of online gambling. Despite the ever changing regulatory…

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Suddenly independence looks within Salmond’s grasp in new ICM poll

Suddenly independence looks within Salmond’s grasp in new ICM poll

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Time to start betting on YES There’s a new IndyRef poll in Scotland on Sunday from ICM – the pollster that got the 2011 AV referendum most right predicting the final result to within a small fraction of a percent. The figures saw YES up 5% and NO down 5% compared with the last in September. The initial split in the poll was 54-46 but that closed to 53-47 when those sampled were pressed further for a view. Very interestingly…

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Ed Balls makes the 50 percent tax-rate the GE2015 dividing line

Ed Balls makes the 50 percent tax-rate the GE2015 dividing line

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Over to you Mr. Osborne The big announcement in this morning speech from Ed Balls was that a Labour government would reintroduce the 50% tax rate which was reduced to 45% in George Osborne’s March 2012 budget. This is probably the most significant policy move yet from Labour in the build up to GE2015 – now little more then 15 months away. At the time of the change to 45% Osborne’s move didn’t poll very well and there’s little indication…

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It couldn’t happen, could it? PM Farage

It couldn’t happen, could it? PM Farage

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Farage Number 10? pic.twitter.com/NF05OOYWVL — PolPics (@PolPics) January 25, 2014 David Herdson on a nightmare or a dream The toothy beaming smile said it all.  The new prime minister stood on the steps of Downing Street and waved to nobody in particular but it was what the assembled media wanted anyway.  They were as stunned at the result as everyone else.  True, the polls a few days before had been predicting it but no-one really believed them did they?  Polls…

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The Tory survival plan is based on the Lib Dems staying strong in CON-LAB battlegrounds but collapsing in CON-LD ones

The Tory survival plan is based on the Lib Dems staying strong in CON-LAB battlegrounds but collapsing in CON-LD ones

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The evidence suggests that it’s working the other way round It’s been repeated often enough on PB that an essential part of Labour’s polling position is based on the very large proportion of 2010 LD voters who’ve now switched to Labour. If this hadn’t happened or starts to slip away then EdM’s dreams of becoming PM are in trouble. So far, at least, the evidence is that such a move that is even more pronounced in the key LAB-CON marginals…

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By-Election Results : January 23rd 2014

By-Election Results : January 23rd 2014

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Motherwell North on North Lanarkshire (Lab Defence) Result: Lab 1,719 (68% unchanged on 2012), SNP 520 (21% -4% on 2012), Con 173 (7% +2% on 2012), UKIP 107 (4% no candidate in 2012) Labour HOLD with a majority of 1,199 (47%) on a swing of 2% from SNP to Lab West Leigh on Southend on Sea (Con Defence) Result: (Changes since 2011, when retiring councillor was last elected) Con 743 (37% -13% on 2011), Lib Dem 688 (34% +1% on…

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