Remember the 1999 Euros: Tony Blair’s LAB was 32 pc ahead in the GE VI polls but trailed Hague’s CON by 8pts on the day

Remember the 1999 Euros: Tony Blair’s LAB was 32 pc ahead in the GE VI polls but trailed Hague’s CON by 8pts on the day

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General election polls not good indicators for EP election What we mustn’t forget as we approach the May Euro elections is that this is not a national vote where LAB has prospered since the introduction of the party list voting system. The chart shows the CON deficit in the main Westminster polls from April 1999 and compares them with what happened a few weeks when the nation decided on who should represent it at the European parliament. The issue, of…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. To all your lurkers, why not Find The Time to delurk? I know your contributions will be Five Star good. Your preconceptions about delurking will All Fall Down. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) The Tory knives are out for Michael Gove – and Boris is…

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ICM poll: UKIP the least liked and most disliked party

ICM poll: UKIP the least liked and most disliked party

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In its latest poll ICM has introduced a new measure – party like/dislike ratings where interviewees are asked to rate each main party on a seven point scale. The outline figures can be seen above. Quite where this takes us I don’t know but the fact that LAB has fewer negatives is surely a positive. The UKIP numbers fit with what we’ve seen elsewhere, particularly in the ComRes favourability ratings. Mike Smithson 2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble…

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Ed Miliband’s “No EU Referendum” move might be less of a gamble than it looks

Ed Miliband’s “No EU Referendum” move might be less of a gamble than it looks

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The fact a YouGov EU referendum poll, which shows In ahead only for the second time, gets more coverage abroad than in the UK, says a lot. — Alberto Nardelli (@AlbertoNardelli) March 11, 2014 What could have potency is “being denied a vote” We are now just ten weeks away from the Euro Elections and today sees Ed Miliband make a speech in which, effectively, he rules out offering an referendum on whether the UK should stay IN or OUT….

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March’s Guardian ICM Poll is out

March’s Guardian ICM Poll is out

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The Lib Dems regain third place from UKIP The March ICM phone poll for the Guardian is out, there’s some cheer for the Lib Dems and the Tories. The Lib Dems have regained third place from UKIP with the Gold Standard of polling. It is easy to say that UKIP are regressing prior to the European and Local Elections in May, but this poll is return to the status quo of the ICM polling preceding February, which generally had the Lib…

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Being an Etonian is seen much worse than having taken hard drugs. YouGov’s “Characteristics unsuitable in leading politicians”

Being an Etonian is seen much worse than having taken hard drugs. YouGov’s “Characteristics unsuitable in leading politicians”

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The UKIP responses are striking The above polling (full details here) came out yesterday when I was attending a family occasion and have only just got round to looking at the detail. I’ve put it into an interactive chart and it’s fascinating seeing how supporters of the four main parties take very different views on particular characteristics. The Etonian point is just one of many aspects. The “never had a real job” doesn’t surprise me and it is noticeable how…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re experiencing a lack of Rapid Eye Movement why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. To all your lurkers, why not delurk? If you delurk, you won’t be saying, It’s the End of the World as We Know It, you’ll become Shiny Happy People. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Ukip faces question…

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