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Wroxham on Broadland (Liberal Democrat defence) Result of last election (2011): Conservatives 34, Liberal Democrats 12, Labour 1 (Conservative majority of 21) Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Liberal Democrats 985, 829 Conservatives 741, 537 Labour 227 Greens 197 Candidates duly nominated: Alex Cassam (Lib Dem), Malcolm Kemp (Lab), David Moreland (UKIP), Fran Whymark (Con) Gamston on Rushcliffe (Conservative defence) Result of last election (2011): Conservatives 34, Liberal Democrats 6, Labour 5, Independents 3, Green 2…

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Everything is dependent on turnout YouGov asked a likelihood to vote question which moved UKIP into second place and saw LAB up 2. This looks set to be low turnout election which presents a huge challenge for the pollsters. They might accurately reflect the pattern of support as is being told to them but everything depends on whether people actually do take the trouble to exercise their vote. YouGov found that 38% said they were certain to vote which was…

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As has been pointed out many times before the segment of the electorate that has seen the biggest switch to UKIP is the one that the Tories always banked on – the oldies. Last month’s Populus aggregate found that the current UKIP support base has those aged 55+ accounting, as the chart shows, for nearly 60%. The biggest group of switchers based on past vote were 2010 Conservatives who now make up 45% of the UKIP support base. Oldies are…

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