GE2015 betting: LAB majority chances on Betfair move up 3 to nearly 35% following the Carswell defection to UKIP pic.twitter.com/mjfWZx9rwv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 29, 2014 Betfair GE2015 majority betting: CON chances drop by 3% following Carswell move pic.twitter.com/P0JpwViLgH — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 29, 2014 Maybe the weekend polls will change that?
North Jesmond on Newcastle upon Tyne (Lib Dem Defence) Result: Liberal Democrats 711 (53% +16%), Labour 320 (24% -9%), Conservative 117 (9% -9%), United Kingdom Indepdendence Party 112 (8%), Green 94 (7% -5%) Liberal Democrat HOLD with a majority of 391 (29%) on a swing of 12.5% from Labour to Liberal Democrat This result will be seized upon by Northern Liberal Democrats as a suggestion that the constant hammering they have been getting in recent years may be coming to…
The mayor’s the only one who could stop UKIP in its tracks One of the big political decisions that the Tories will have to make in the next few weeks is who should be the candidate to fight UKIP defector, Douglas Carswell, in Clacton. The consequences for Cameron’s party of a UKIP victory in the seat are enormous and they have to do everything they can to stop him. Boris Johnson has decided he wants to return to the commons…
Yes, we all know that the media is focusing on Clacton this evening but let us not forget that Clacton is not the only show in town! North Jesmond on Newcastle upon Tyne (Lib Dem Defence) Result of last election to council (2014): Labour 52, Liberal Democrats 24, Independents 2 (Labour majority of 26) Result of ward at last election (2011): Liberal Democrats 870 (37%), Labour 770 (33%), Conservatives 419 (18%), Greens 273 (12%0 Candidates duly nominated: Duncan Crute (Con),…
Douglas Carswell, red hot favourite to win his seat, Clacton, for UKIP. See PaddyPower http://t.co/0KpwlJgy4T pic.twitter.com/V01q41DqqX — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 28, 2014 And will his defection encourage others? Back in 2005 Douglas Carswell was one of a select group of Tories who won seats from LAB. He took Harwich. Then, five years later in the new seat of Clacton, he held on thanks to a swing from LAB of 9.7%, The national swing was 5% which is a good indication…
MP for Clacton Douglas Carswell has announced he is defecting from the Conservatives to #Ukip — Sky News Newsdesk (@SkyNewsBreak) August 28, 2014 The results from @DouglasCarswell Clacton at GE2010. Can he hold that for UKIP pic.twitter.com/5MVJA1CnbS — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 28, 2014 At GE2010 Carswell enjoyed a swing of LAB to CON of 9.7% – which was one of the highest in UK. Suggests a big personal vote. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 28, 2014 CLACTON MP CARSWELL…
Fieldwork for the last published full #IndyRef poll was completed 13 days ago. See Wiki list pic.twitter.com/A0bvLYzzdi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 28, 2014 Why are there so few Scottish polls? Over the past few days I’ve been repeatedly asked when the next full IndyRef poll will be published and unfortunately I have no idea. The last full poll was by YouGov when fieldwork finished on August 15th – that’s 13 days ago. In the same period we have had…