LAB 34%= CON 30%-1 UKIP 19%= LD 8%+1 GRN 3%-1 So only very slight movement well within the margin of error in voting intentions. The findings from the poll that I’ve highlighted in the chart are on perceptions of Dave which I think get to the heart of the challenges for both leaders. People can’t imagine Ed at Number 10 while Dave is not seen as someone who stand up for working people. Also the perception is that a CON…
Tories in Rochester attacking Mark Reckless for "studying politics at Oxford". Via @genghisthekahn: pic.twitter.com/QkLCpZnb3s — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2014 Please enter your prediction on the embedded form below. The winner will receive a copy of the new book edited by Philip Cowley and Rob Ford “Sex Lies & The Ballot Box” which was launched earlier this month and has attracted a fair bit of publicity. I am grateful to Nojam.com for helping create a competition entry system that…
The risks of an election can be avoided by not holding one Sixty thousand tweets of support for Ed Miliband this last week may have put a dampener on speculation about his leadership survival prospects, though not as much as the definitive statement from Alan Johnson ruling himself out of any future contest. For all the goodwill in the country, those who have the Labour leader’s future in their hands remain the MPs and shadow ministers at Westminster. For the…
Those who “bought” CON on Monday are into profit already It had been a long time coming but the opening of GE15 commons seats spread betting market from Sporting Index was a big moment in the betting build up to next May. To me it is the finest form of political betting because you “trade” commons seats as if they were stocks and shares and the more you are right the more you win. Alas the more you are wrong…
Queen Edith’s on Cambridge (Lab Defence) Result: Liberal Democrats 933 (36% +1%), Labour 790 (31% -9%), Conservatives 614 (24% +5%), Green 222 (9% +3%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Labour with a majority of 143 (5%) on a swing of 5% from Labour to Liberal Democrat Brent (Con Defence) and Littlebrook (Lab Defence) on Dartford Brent Result: Conservatives 579 (45%), Labour 402 (31%), UKIP 316 (24%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 177 (14%) Littlebrook Result: Labour 358 (47%), UKIP 220…
pic.twitter.com/Ddrv9Y1o56 — PolPics (@PolPics) November 14, 2014 Have seats that were in LAB’s grasp now fallen away There’s no doubt that this has been a dramatic polling week with apparently a move from LAB that is changing the long established view that the red team was heading for victory. But these are national polls of 1,000 sample sizes for phone surveys and up to 2,000 for online ones. What we need to see before jumping to conclusions is whether the…
Queen Edith’s on Cambridge (Lab Defence) Result of last election to council (2014): Labour 25, Liberal Democrats 14, Independents 2, Conservative 1 (Labour majority of 8) Result of last election in ward (2012): Labour 1,084 (40%), Liberal Democrats 963 (35%), Conservatives 513 (19%), Green 172 (6%) Candidates duly nominated: Rahima Ahammed (Lab), Andrew Bower (Con), Joel Chalfen (Green), Viki Sanders (Lib Dem) Brent (Con Defence) and Littlebrook (Lab Defence) on Dartford Result of last election to council (2011): Conservatives 31,…
The leader renews his vows with the party & role as underdog The grassroots response to Ed Miliband’s recent leadership uncertainties showed more enthusiasm for his leadership than at any other time – including at the point of his election. While certain MPs were wobbling, the party’s foot soldiers and supporters were bashing out 60,000 tweets of support. Yes, Labour folk are suckers for an underdog, but this felt different. There were reasons why they backed him. The stance on…