With the loan of the Elgin Marbles to Russia becoming an international issue Marf gives here take
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On current polling the Tories will, surely, suffer net losses of more than 18 seats
Latest Commons seats spreads from Sporting Index http://t.co/56fhx8BJCR see LAB -1 CON +1. Just 4 MP gap now pic.twitter.com/arQHjH3eUU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 5, 2014 For the first time there’s overlap in the Commons seat spread betting The Tories have made more progress on the SportingIndex Commos seat spread markets and the buy level is 285 MPs. Given the polling showing number of CON held seats with majorities up to 7.8% seeing LAB leads, the threat from UKIP, and…
The extraordinary impact of Lord Ashcroft’s two stage voting question – keeping LD hopes alive
Why the party that’s lost ¾ of its vote isn’t panicking One of the remarkable features of the past four and a half years of the coalition is that the party that appears to have suffered so much, the Lib Dems, has not panicked and appears to just shrug off one miserable national poll rating after another. This morning’s YouGov once again has them in fifth place behind with just 7% drastically down on the 23.7% GB share at GE10….
Harry Hayfield’s Local By-Election Preview : December 4th 2014
Netherfield on Mansfield (Mansfield Independent Forum defence) Result of last election to council (2011): Labour 26, Mansfield Independents 10 (Labour majority of 16) Result of last election in ward (2011): Mansfield Independents 444 (51%), Labour 401 (46%), Liberal Democrats 34 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: Karen Seymour (TUSC), Sid Walker (UKIP), Sarah Wright (Lab) Ever since the scare that Labour had in 1987 (when the Conservatives came within 56 seats of winning), Labour’s majority in Mansfield constituency has increased to such…
LAB down 2 seats, UKIP -0.5 as CON moves up on the GE15 spread markets
Post Autumn Statement Commons seats spreads from Sporting Index http://t.co/56fhx8BJCR CON up 2/LAB & UKIP down pic.twitter.com/8h22hRhd9w — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2014 Punters think this’ll help the Tories The above prices were fixed this morning and have remained all day. Interesting that UKIP edges down a touch as well as LAB. This election remains a very difficult contest to call and it is hard to make a case to buy or sell at any of the above levels….
The genius of George Osborne: His government’s failure on the deficit is being ignored
How the Sun is treating Osborne's AS pic.twitter.com/fFT6XjFA3e — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2014 Mirror front page on AS pic.twitter.com/eao43yavp1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2014 Mail'sfront page on AS pic.twitter.com/SM3kMqAOvT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2014 FT front page on AS pic.twitter.com/i68pNH8r9c — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2014 @Telegraph on the AS pic.twitter.com/qYLF1okpHM — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2014 Times front page on AS pic.twitter.com/Y3pwUY3G9u — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2014 Guardian front…
If the Tories do manage to stay in power after May 7th much of the credit will go to George Osborne
That won’t harm his leadership ambitions The autumn statement was always going to be a major event on the road to May 7th and George Osborne didn’t disappoint. So many different ideas and measures all designed to make it harder for Labour in the economic debate in the run up to the election and to block out the kippers. Although they were well-trailed the stamp duty changes look right for that “middle” audience which the Tories have to bring back…
Osborne making his statement amidst declining confidence in the economy
The polling background to the Autumn Statement From YouGov: Voters much less confident about the economy than they were at March budget. pic.twitter.com/xpic7ULSYe — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 3, 2014 Osborne's YouGov well/badly ratings down since budget but still voters rate him over Ed Balls pic.twitter.com/L5rrmZ91J7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 3, 2014