Big shake up in next LAB leader betting following Chuka Umunna’s withdrawal from the race

Big shake up in next LAB leader betting following Chuka Umunna’s withdrawal from the race

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The @TelePolitics report on Chukka Ununna quitting the LAB leadership race.http://t.co/xSMBu8PxNq pic.twitter.com/gOW0Avmm09 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2015 Full list of PaddyPower http://t.co/45A6m22thh LAB leadership prices. pic.twitter.com/B93bbbjpcY — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2015 Following Chukka's withdrawal latest Hills betting6/4 Burnham 6/4 11/4 Cooper 5/1Kendall12/1 Hunt14 Creagh; — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2015 Daily Mail says "union barons" trying to stop Liz Kendall signing up the 35 MPs she needs to stand pic.twitter.com/QKGA3HJHP0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May…

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The GE2020 challenge for LAB: Unless its Scottish losses can be reversed it needs a 12% lead for a majority

The GE2020 challenge for LAB: Unless its Scottish losses can be reversed it needs a 12% lead for a majority

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The challenge facing LAB by John Curtice. 12% lead required for majority pic.twitter.com/haSbQSY02w — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 15, 2015 Within a few weeks of each general election Professor John Curtice and other leading psephologists start producing the numbers that will shape the next general election. The first one is in the Mail piece – what LAB would need to do to secure a majority next time. Before last week’s election Curtice had said that the Tories would require a…

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The real answer to the “shy Tories” phenomenon is Boris

The real answer to the “shy Tories” phenomenon is Boris

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In 2012 many more said they’d vote for him than actually did A lot has been written in the past week about so-called “shy Tories” who are reluctant to tell pollsters on the phone or when they complete online questionnaires that they’ll support the blues. Yet look at what happened in 2012 when Boris was re-elected as mayor of London – the opposite happened. Every single pollsters had Boris lead at a level bigger than it was. Of the firms…

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Meanwhile away from UKIP runners declare themselves in 3 political races and an 8/1 tip from Damian McBride

Meanwhile away from UKIP runners declare themselves in 3 political races and an 8/1 tip from Damian McBride

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The LAB leadership contest Yvette Cooper and Andy Burnham announce Labour leadership bids http://t.co/ALs3cTkRak pic.twitter.com/n9AaIwBqJC — PoliticsHome (@politicshome) May 14, 2015 The LD leadership contest The least unexpected news of the day Farron to run for LD leadership http://t.co/NaQpE7GhOV pic.twitter.com/SHxZnS7NnP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 14, 2015 LAB selection for the 2016 London Mayoral race Join the movement to deliver the change that London needs. We're launching next week… http://t.co/zwsqzRDbSZ pic.twitter.com/YnVQPdc1B1 — Tessa Jowell (@TessaJowell) May 13, 2015 London: it’s…

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The UKIP implosion Part 2: Farage accused of being “snarling, thin-skinned and aggressive”

The UKIP implosion Part 2: Farage accused of being “snarling, thin-skinned and aggressive”

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UKIP's campaign chief launches remarkable attack on Nigel Farage http://t.co/gXcZMALMyp pic.twitter.com/izyjlb9gUn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 14, 2015 The fall-out from Farage’s unresignation continues Last Friday Nigel Farage stepped down as UKIP leader following his failure to become an MP. After the weekend that was all rescinded when the party executive refused to accept it. The following day there was a hugely publicised row between Farage and his party’s only MP Douglas Carswell. This morning the Guardian and a number…

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What a great idea for Labour’s leadership contest – test each of them out at PMQs

What a great idea for Labour’s leadership contest – test each of them out at PMQs

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I hope Labour allows all the leadership contenders to take it in turns at PMQs before the vote… — Will Jennings (I'm not here, see you at ?? ) (@drjennings) May 13, 2015 Given that the weekly slot at PMQs is such an important platform for the leader of the opposition then the idea being promoted by Dr Will Jennings seems a very good plan. How will each of them perform one week at a time against Cameron? Will they…

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Marf on six days after

Marf on six days after

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Kent police make enquiries following reports of electoral fraud in Thanet South #GE2015 seat http://t.co/xCC6na4QDf pic.twitter.com/D11flj5EhW — BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) May 13, 2015 William Hill http://t.co/orbZ1dFWfnNigel Farage to become MP before next General Election: Yes 7/4; No 2/5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 13, 2015 Douglas Carswell to remain UKIP MP until next General Election: Yes 8/11 No Evens — William Hill http://t.co/orbZ1dFWfn — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 13, 2015 A ,ore elegant version of the LAB leadership timetable…

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Farage’s biggest mistake was to duck the Eastleigh by election

Farage’s biggest mistake was to duck the Eastleigh by election

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A big public split with Carswell was almost inevitable The very public row that has broken out between Farage and his party’s only MP, Douglas Carswell, was one that had been widely predicted. The only issue was what would spark it off. For because of his unique MP status it is up to Carswell to decide on how the public funds that UKIP is due from what is known as Short money should be used. The Clacton MP believes passionately…

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