The LAB leadership: Liz Kendall is taking the lion’s share of those MPs who voted for David Miliband in 2010

The LAB leadership: Liz Kendall is taking the lion’s share of those MPs who voted for David Miliband in 2010

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A pointer to the the ballot? As we all know back in the 2010 Labour leadership contest Ed’s elder brother, David, was the front runner and chalked up biggish leads with both Labour MPs and the party membership. With the contest for LAB MP nominations now in full flght LabourList is keeping an updated list of current MP declarations and, very helpfully, is showing which candidate those who were MPs then voted for in the September 2010 contest. The breakdown…

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Henry G Manson: Tom Watson should be odds-on for LAB deputy

Henry G Manson: Tom Watson should be odds-on for LAB deputy

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PB’s “Labour insider” gives his view I recently explained why I think Andy Burnham shouldn’t be priced as the odds on favourite for the Labour leadership contest. Looking at the Deputy race, I think the opposite is the case and that the current favourite Tom Watson should in fact be a good deal shorter. Watson is stand-out value at 6/4 with William Hill and Ladbrokes – and should be closer to 1/2. There is currently a big field of rivals…

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Why categorising people by which papers they read might not be as relevant any more

Why categorising people by which papers they read might not be as relevant any more

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UK Press Gazette What we think of as newspapers have become news brands YouGov makes a big deal in its weightings on which newspaper those on its polling panel say they read. This was introduced by the firm when it started polling in 2001 and has remained a key part since even though there has been a collapse in the number of printed copies of papers being sold each day. We are still consuming papers but in a very different…

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As nominations open tonight’s key numbers in the LAB leadership race

As nominations open tonight’s key numbers in the LAB leadership race

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https://twitter.com/election_data/status/608327284559376385 More than 80 LAB MPs have still to decide All three front runners for the LAB leadership – Burnham/Kendal/Cooper have seen increases in their MP nomination totals. The other two – Corbyn/Creagh – have seen no change and they are still a very long way off the 35 that’s required. There are, however, more than 80 LAB MPs who have yet to attach their names to a contender so theoretically at least both theorectically at least, could reach the…

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For the third London Mayoral election in succession CON hopes look set to rest on a blond old-Etonian

For the third London Mayoral election in succession CON hopes look set to rest on a blond old-Etonian

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Zac Goldsmith to run for Mayor of London http://t.co/IPW4FCRgMu pic.twitter.com/YMtUqACyPy — Coffee House (@SpecCoffeeHouse) June 9, 2015 Ladbrokes now make a Zac Goldsmith 3/1 to be next London Mayor. Last year he was a 50/1 chance — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 9, 2015 The 3/1 that Zac’ll win looks a good bet According to Joe Murphy in the Standard Zac’s candidature is dependent on the outcome of a referendum he is holding in his Rixhmond Park constituency. In a unique…

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New guest slot team member DavidL on the other leadership election – the fight to lead Scottish Labour

New guest slot team member DavidL on the other leadership election – the fight to lead Scottish Labour

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I’d like to talk about the Labour leadership election. No, no, not that election but the Scottish one that no one is paying any attention to. On 16th May Jim Murphy announced, having won his vote of no confidence, that he was standing down, not there and then like his esteemed leader but a month later. That month is up next week. As always in the Alice in Wonderland of Scottish politics, Scottish Labour can’t go back to yesterday because…

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Leadership polling 8 weeks before the ballots go out can be misleading

Leadership polling 8 weeks before the ballots go out can be misleading

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This from the last CON contest in 2005 At this stage even with members it’s about name recognition The above chart is from a YouGov poll of Conservative party members which was carried out by YouGov in early September 2005 and published on September 10th. The timing is almost an exact parallel with the current LAB fight – about 8 weeks before the issuing of postal ballot forms. All the parties have totally different ways of doing this and in…

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The LAB leadership: A three, a four or a five horse race?

The LAB leadership: A three, a four or a five horse race?

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Bunham & Cooper have 35+ MP endorsements: Kendall 3 to go We are now just a day away from the first formal stage in the race to be EdM’s successor. MP nominations open tomorrow and those wanting to be on the ballot have until next Monday to garner the support of 35 LAB MPs to ensure that they are on the ballot. From the News Statesman figures above Cooper and Burnham have clearly crossed the line with Kendall just three…

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