On Twitter in the LAB leadership battle the Corbyn campaign has most to be pleased about

On Twitter in the LAB leadership battle the Corbyn campaign has most to be pleased about

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But can we read anything into these numbers? Following their entries into the race all four contenders set up dedicated campaign Twitter accounts and the numbers in the chart above show how many followers they have attracted. All of these were created at about the same time so comparisons are valid. The question is what can we read into the numbers? What I find interesting is that the contenders perceived as being the most left and right wing are the…

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Greece: It’s looking like NO

Greece: It’s looking like NO

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Greek referendum final polls show 'No' vote ahead by small margin http://t.co/36wH1Sg34G — Reuters (@Reuters) July 5, 2015 Half of votes counted #Greferendum pic.twitter.com/WJNrKCkvqS — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonTABB) July 5, 2015

Nick Sparrow, the pollster who did most to change post-1992, on poll averaging, herding and the pressure to conform

Nick Sparrow, the pollster who did most to change post-1992, on poll averaging, herding and the pressure to conform

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< Why Polls End Up Saying The Same Thing Following the General Election, the pollsters have been accused of having herd instincts.  How else do so many polling companies, acting independently, get to the same – wrong – answer? In the final days of the campaign, the polls mainly agreed on the likely outcome, and even a late movement to Labour.  Polls of polls ironed out small differences and gave an even greater feeling of certainty.  But the natural belief...

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The LD leadership race where NOT being anti-immigration could be a vote winner

The LD leadership race where NOT being anti-immigration could be a vote winner

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Smart move by Tim Farron as the LD leadership race draws to a closehttp://t.co/QY5nhfdiSJ pic.twitter.com/y1IgZ5r3a9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 4, 2015 With the Lib Dem leadership race drawing to a close the favourite, ex-party president Tim Farron, according to the Observer, has said that the UK should take 60,000 immigrants to help deal with the current crisis. According to Toby Helm’s report: “..“We should support this because we are decent people. Our party should not have a mixed message…

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Liz Kendall: The 2015 LAB version of what Ken Clarke was for the Tories 1997-2005?

Liz Kendall: The 2015 LAB version of what Ken Clarke was for the Tories 1997-2005?

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"Liz Kendall is to Labour as Ken Clarke was to the Tories 1997-2005." Discuss. — Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) July 1, 2015 For EU supporter read “Blairite” or “CON-lite” As I was returning from holiday a couple of days ago the News Statesman’s, Stephen Bush posted the above Tweet which I’ve been pondering over ever since – for there might be a grain of truth in it. After the appalling Tory defeat by Tony Blair in 1997 the Tories had a…

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Tsipras’ own goal is Cameron’s gain

Tsipras’ own goal is Cameron’s gain

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David Herdson on a crucial weekend If there were any doubt that David Cameron is a lucky politician, events in Europe this last week have again made the point. No sooner had he suffered a setback at the European Council, failing to win a chance of treaty reform, than the Greek government gives him (inadvertently, no doubt), a huge helping hand. The decision of Alexis Tsipras to commit his government to destruction by a method to be determined by the…

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Continuing his series on the boundaries Antifrank on the role of the Boundary Commission

Continuing his series on the boundaries Antifrank on the role of the Boundary Commission

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The body that will oversee the shake-up In my last two posts, here and here, I’ve looked at the likely impact of the boundary review and considered how the parties might wish to see those boundaries fall.  To date I haven’t really looked at the role of the Boundary Commissions at all.  This is a serious omission. In fact, it will be the Boundary Commissions that determine the constituency boundaries. The parties can make representations but the Boundary Commissions will have…

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