New study by John Curtice suggests that the referendum LEAVE/REMAIN divide is about class, age and education

New study by John Curtice suggests that the referendum LEAVE/REMAIN divide is about class, age and education

Comments 0 Comment

The picture above was taken at last month’s UKIP conference where there was a great effort to aim at the young. Whether dressing the youngsters up in these t-shirts will have an impact I don’t know but the LEAVE camp is very much aware of where it’s weakness is. A new study just out by John Curtice, him of exit poll fame, points to the very big demographic divides between those saying they want to leave the EU and those…

Read More Read More

Mr. Corbyn joins the establishment

Mr. Corbyn joins the establishment

Comments 0 Comment

Things I knew but didn't appreciate at the time: Ed Miliband was TALL: pic.twitter.com/z2Bh9oFD1u — Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) October 20, 2015 I must say I’m quite impressed and it says a lot about him. An event like tonight’s is clearly something that as Opposition Leader he had to attend and there are dress codes. He made the right decision. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Doing “Best PM” comparisons between Corbyn & Dave is like asking US voters to choose between Obama and Trump

Doing “Best PM” comparisons between Corbyn & Dave is like asking US voters to choose between Obama and Trump

Comments 0 Comment

We all know that David Cameron is not planning to remain as prime minister after the next general election. So the choice will between Corbyn, unless he’s replaced in the meantime, and AN Other. So why is it that pollsters, and presumably their media clients who agree to the form of questioning, continue with best p.m. ratings that include the current prime minister? The findings really don’t have any relevance to the next big election battle in the UK. Thankfully,…

Read More Read More

Less than six weeks after becoming LAB leader Mr. Corbyn’s approval ratings slump to a net minus 19 points with Opinium

Less than six weeks after becoming LAB leader Mr. Corbyn’s approval ratings slump to a net minus 19 points with Opinium

Comments 0 Comment

Opinium has a new poll out showing almost no change in the voting intention numbers. CON still ahead by 5%. The firm is the only one to regularly ask leader approval questions and the latest survey is not good for Labour’s new leader. In September Opinium had him on a net minus 7 points. Tonight the gap between those who approve of him and those who don’t has widened to 19 points. These latest numbers mean that in every single…

Read More Read More

Five reasons why this CNN politics man has bet on Marco Rubio for the Republican nomination

Five reasons why this CNN politics man has bet on Marco Rubio for the Republican nomination

Comments 0 Comment

In his own way there’s a touch of Obama about him I like the case has been made in this clip particularly the debate extract when Rubio is dealing with the language issue. The way he handled it is reminiscent of the conference speech Obama made in 2004 which brought him to prominence for the first time. The age factor is important given that all the potential Democratic party opponents are in their late 60s or 70s. With Rubio the…

Read More Read More

Osborne’s tax credits dilemma might be solved by the Lords – peers could kill the move

Osborne’s tax credits dilemma might be solved by the Lords – peers could kill the move

Comments 0 Comment

Huffpost’s Paul Waugh has what appears like a scoop with a report that the House of Lords, where the Tories don’t have a majority, could kill the legislative move to change the tax credits system. This is because the means chosen by Osborne’s team to make this law is via a statutory instrument not new legislation. This has to be approved by both houses of parliament. Waugh writes: “..A rarely-used ‘fatal motion’ is set to be tabled in the House…

Read More Read More

The pressure mounts on Osborne’s tax credit plan

The pressure mounts on Osborne’s tax credit plan

Comments 0 Comment

Me for @TheTimes: Cameron must choose. His one nation mission or cuts in tax credits http://t.co/cPIc5UzO7M pic.twitter.com/mLxSYFsSPf — Tim Montgomerie ?? (@montie) October 18, 2015 Remember that George has turned before The headline on Tim Montgomerie’s piece for tomorrow’s Times and his Tweet say it all. The pressure is building for a U-turn. Let’s recall what happened in the aftermath of Osborne’s 2012 “Omnishambles budget”. A whole series of measure from the so-called granny to the pasty tax all got…

Read More Read More