Don’t expect anything to come of the GOP’s establishment effort to stop Trump

Don’t expect anything to come of the GOP’s establishment effort to stop Trump

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David Herdson on the US race The next rounds take place this weekend with four states electing delegates for the Republicans (Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana and Maine) and four for the Democrats (Kansas,Louisiana,Maine and Nebraska). Much has been made of the apparent desire of the GOP establishment to stop Trump. Don’t expect it to come to anything. The fact that there are two competing and opposing strategies to stop the Donald should reveal that both are inherently weak. The first strategy,…

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Local By-Election Results : March 3rd 2016

Local By-Election Results : March 3rd 2016

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Bloomfield (Lab defence) on Blackpool Result: Labour 450 (58% +13%), Conservative 150 (19% -1%), United Kingdom Independence Party 118 (15% -10%), Green Party 32 (4% -5%), Liberal Democrat 31 (4%, no candidate in 2015) Labour HOLD with a majority of 300 (39%) on a swing of 7% from Conservative to Labour Alderholt (Con defence) on East Dorset Result: Conservative 384 (47% -16%), Liberal Democrat 376 (46%, no candidate in 2015), Labour 49 (6%, no candidate in 2015) Conservative HOLD with…

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Concern about the EU jumps to 4th in the latest Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

Concern about the EU jumps to 4th in the latest Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

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The 20% figure is highest for 13 years Europe/EU jumps to 4th place in latest Ipsos-MORI Issues Index pic.twitter.com/HC51gYMMtU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2016 Concern about the EU by sub groups in the February Ipsos-MORI Issues Index pic.twitter.com/eDu0ez2jSG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2016 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet Politicalbetting/Polling Matters TV Show: Serious discussion for those seriously interested in political outcomes https://t.co/L8URISq49o — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 3, 2016

After the Romney attack on Trump the latest GOP Nominee TV debate

After the Romney attack on Trump the latest GOP Nominee TV debate

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The debate headline that sums up the GOP racepic.twitter.com/eFX6Gwnpl8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 4, 2016 Only a few hours after the anti Trump speech by 2012 nominee Mitt Romney the four remaining contenders were back on the stage together for the latest GOP debate. This was the summing up by Taegan Goddard of Political Wire “.. Donald Trump and Marco Rubio attacked each other in the harshest terms yet. Trump referred to “Little Marco” while defending the size of…

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Local By-Election Preview : March 3rd 2016

Local By-Election Preview : March 3rd 2016

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Bloomfield (Lab defence) on Blackpool Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 29, Conservatives 13 (Labour majority of 16) Result of ward at last election (2015) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,045, 902 (45%) United Kingdom Independence Party 585 (25%) Conservative 463, 294 (20%) Green Party 202 (9%) Independent 37 (2%) Candidates duly nominated: Phil Armstrong (Green Party), Neil Close (Lib Dem), Jim Hobson (Lab), Tony Jones (Con), David Shackleton (United Kingdom Independence Party) If you excuse a flirtation…

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Trump’s betting price weakens as the 2012 GOP nominee, Mitt Romney, goes to war against the front-runner

Trump’s betting price weakens as the 2012 GOP nominee, Mitt Romney, goes to war against the front-runner

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The tax return section of @MittRomney' speech against Trump is the most potent https://t.co/8NKdHVxGfC pic.twitter.com/IuypPcSVsc — Tim Montgomerie ?? (@montie) March 3, 2016 There’ve been movements in the past hour on the Betfair Echange following a hard hitting speech by the 2012 GOP nominee, Mitt Romney, against Donald Trump. He didn’t mince his words and the attack is getting a lot of coverage in the US media. The question is whether it will have any impact or could it even…

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The collective PBers’ EU Referendum prediction: REMAIN to win by 8.6%, turnout 62.75%

The collective PBers’ EU Referendum prediction: REMAIN to win by 8.6%, turnout 62.75%

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There’ll be further prize competitions end April and end May The chart above shows the breakdown by party supported of entrants in PB’s referendum prediction competition. Interestingly breaking this down by party support not one segment had LEAVE ahead although UKIP voters were very nearly there. People are competing for a £250 free bet with William Hill which has indicated that it will provide similar prizes as we get nearer the big day. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

The White House Race, the referendum and the political bets of the week in the PB/Polling Matters TV Show

The White House Race, the referendum and the political bets of the week in the PB/Polling Matters TV Show

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Our fourth pilot TV show sees Keiran Pedley of Polling Matters and myself welcome the Labour peer and Oxford academic, Lord (Stewart) Wood of Anfield and the media relations director of William Hill, Graham Sharpe. The issues covered were how well Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton did in the Super Tuesday primaries; whether they are now certainties to be their party nominees; the EU referendum campaign and the prospects of Boris becoming Cameron’s successor. Also the third strand of this…

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