Whatever you think about Momentum it sure knows how to get media attention

Whatever you think about Momentum it sure knows how to get media attention

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Introducing 'Momentum Kids' To Provide Political Education For Children And Childcare For Parents https://t.co/LkmDILhsf4 via @HuffPostUKPol — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 18, 2016 Quite how serious this is we don’t know but it will sure set off a narrative Well done to Paul Waugh of Huff Post for another great political story – this time on a the plan to create Momentum Kids. Reading his article it almost appears like some massive trolling effort which will further focus attention on…

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Analysis: Corbyn has the worst end first year satisfaction ratings of any LAB leader in opposition

Analysis: Corbyn has the worst end first year satisfaction ratings of any LAB leader in opposition

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Brown, who was of course PM, had the largest negative numbers This last week has marked the first anniversary of Corbyn’s leadership of the Labour party and I thought it worth checking the standing of other LAB leaders at this stage. As can been seen from the chart Gordon Brown was doing worse but of those who were in opposition Corbyn’s numbers are the worst. Interestingly the LAB leader with the best ratings was, of course, Tony Blair and he…

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Is George Osborne the answer to Brexit?

Is George Osborne the answer to Brexit?

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Embed from Getty Images   I didn’t think this would be a post I’d ever write. Anyone who’s followed my posts over the last three years will know I’m not exactly George Osborne’s biggest fan. I felt he turned from being a huge asset to the Conservatives in the opposition years into a Chancellor who cynically viewed his voters and supporters as mere chesspieces – only worthy of narrow tactical calculations that might advance his career – and his fellow…

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Why the LDs won’t be too unhappy if Corbyn is re-elected

Why the LDs won’t be too unhappy if Corbyn is re-elected

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Continued splits in LAB could help a rejuvenation of the yellows The LDs are gathering in Brighton for their annual conference which, unlike the coalition years, is barely getting any attention. That’s understandable. Having just 8 MPs and the Tories having a majority means they are not important anymore. The polls suggest they haven’t progressed from the 8% of GE2015 but there’s one glimmer of hope – they are doing remarkably well at a local level. They made the most…

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Trump: grinding his way to victory?

Trump: grinding his way to victory?

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Suddenly his path to the White House is looking a lot clearer The Terminator had nothing on Donald Trump. Relentless, seemingly unstoppable, impervious, unflappable, possessed of a few choice popular catch-phrases, assimilated but still not of this (political) world: the public’s watched in horrified awe as he swept all opposition so far aside. Can Hillary Clinton make an even less plausible Sarah Connor and find the equivalent of a crushing steel press in the form of the electorate? Her health…

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Why part of my expected Diane James winnings will go on Justine Greening – 20/1 to be next cabinet minster out

Why part of my expected Diane James winnings will go on Justine Greening – 20/1 to be next cabinet minster out

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She looks very uncomfortable defending her boss’s flagship policy A new YouGov poll this morning finds that there has been a less than overwhelming response to TMay’s main domestic policy – the return of grammar schools. 34% say they back the plan; 25% want all existing grammars closed and 20% thought things should stay as they are. The minister with the task of defending this is EdSec, Justine Greening, who looked very uncomfortable in the Commons earlier in the week….

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With polls tightening & the betting moves to Trump tonight’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show/Podcast returns to WH2016

With polls tightening & the betting moves to Trump tonight’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show/Podcast returns to WH2016

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Joining Keiran (on the programme is the Politco polling analyst, Steven Shepard (@POLITICO_Steve) and Federica Cocco (@federicacocco) statistical journalist at the Financial Times in the UK. The Clinton health scare on the 15th anniversary of 9/11 and her team’s reaction to it have reinforced doubts about her and have inevitably given Trump a boost. This is, of course, being reflected in the betting where the latest on the Betfair Exchange has Trump on 34/35%. Clinton is hovering around the 60%…

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