Westminster and Local By-Election Preview : December 8th 2016

Westminster and Local By-Election Preview : December 8th 2016

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Sleaford and North Hykeham (Con defence) to Westminster Parliament Result of Parliament at last election (2015): Conservatives 331, Labour 232, Scottish National Party 56, Northern Ireland Parties 18, Liberal Democrats 8, Plaid Cymru 3, Green Party 1, United Kingdom Independence Party 1 (Conservative majority of 12) Result of constituency at last election (2015): Conservative 34,805 (56%), Labour 10,690 (17%), United Kingdom Independence Party 9,716 (16%), Liberal Democrat 3,500 (6%), Lincolnshire Independent 3,233 (5%) EU Referendum Result (North and South Kesteven…

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Boris can’t go on being overruled by Number 10 and remain as Foreign Secretary

Boris can’t go on being overruled by Number 10 and remain as Foreign Secretary

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No 10 says Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson's comments on Saudi Arabia were "not the government's view". https://t.co/ViVVxk4vvu — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) December 8, 2016 It might save time if No 10 simply told us when Boris IS speaking for the government https://t.co/XWN6JALUlp — Nick Robinson (@bbcnickrobinson) December 8, 2016 If it wasn’t for Labour TMay’s government would look shambolic Ex BBC Political Editor, Nick Robinson, hits the nail on the head with his Tweet this afternoon after another instance of…

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Guido says the Tories are bracing themselves for charges over Thanet South

Guido says the Tories are bracing themselves for charges over Thanet South

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It could be the first where the Michael Crick C4 investigation has an impact The big party expenses probe by the Electoral Commission that was triggered off by the series of C4 News reports by Michael Crick appears to be edging forward. Yesterday the Lib Dem were fined £20k by the Electoral Commission following a similar move some weeks back against Labour. The Crick investigation has looked mostly at the GE2015 expenses in crucial battlegrounds for the Tories. Guido writes:…

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This might be reading it all wrong but the LAB vote share is the big interest tomorrow in Sleaford and Hykeham N

This might be reading it all wrong but the LAB vote share is the big interest tomorrow in Sleaford and Hykeham N

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Corbyn in Sleaford where tomorrow's by-election is taking place pic.twitter.com/Xg4s3lW8gf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 7, 2016 William Hill have not taken a single bet on Labour winning the Sleaford by-election, for which they are currently quoted at odds of 80/1. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 7, 2016 7/2 for the Lib Dems to get over 20% in tomorrow's Sleaford & N.Hykeham by-election #libdemfightbackhttps://t.co/PLd73nh62q pic.twitter.com/VND8nZPHu7 — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) December 7, 2016 Sleaford & Hykeham N. What happened at GE…

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Day 3 of the Supreme Court hearing opens with the Government’s Betfair chances down to lowest level yet

Day 3 of the Supreme Court hearing opens with the Government’s Betfair chances down to lowest level yet

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You can watch live here. In the Commons today there is the debate on the Labour motion on the triggering of Article 50 and its neat amendment by the Government to accept the principle but links in a statement on the referendum outcome itself. Whether TMay is able to set the process of extraction going by her self-imposed end March deadline isn’t clear. Her problem remains that a sizeable group of her own backbenchers are against her and that she…

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Thurday’s Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election – A certain CON hold or could we see a surprise?

Thurday’s Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election – A certain CON hold or could we see a surprise?

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An opportunity for UKIP’s Doctor Nuttall? While there’s been a huge amount of focus on Richmond Park the by-election in Sleaford and North Hykeham has received far less attention – both from the parties themselves and the media. The result from last time makes it difficult to see other than a CON hold on a very much reduced turnout. The fact that it is happening in December so close to Christmas is surely going to depress the number of voters…

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The polls did NOT get BREXIT wrong: Only 41% had REMAIN leads. 59% didn’t

The polls did NOT get BREXIT wrong: Only 41% had REMAIN leads. 59% didn’t

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Is it too much to expect Britain’s PR people to check simple facts? One of the enduring myths from June 23rd was that the polls got it wrong. Some did but most in the official campaign period didn’t as shown in the chart. That esteemed body that allegedly speaks for PR people, the Public Relations and Communications Association (PRCA), has announced it is holding an inquiry into polling specifically referencing GE2015 and the June 23rd referendum. Certainly the former was…

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