Can the actor who’s played the part of President get the nomination? The chart shows how punters on the Betfair market on the Republican nominee for next year’s White House have seen the past month. The former mayor of New York, Rudy Giuliani, who made his name after September 11 is still favourite but the price has started to ease. The market has moved early front-runner who lost out to George Bush in 2000, John McCain who has now drifted…
Could the Republicans choose a movie actor again? Big moves on the Republican White House ’08 nominee markets following the news this afternoon that the lawyer turned movie actor turned Senator, Fred Thompson looks certain to run. He’s now trading at just over 4/1 and has moved into the third favourite position. The idea that the party, which had its most successful years when ex-actor, Ronald Reagan served two full terms, might choose someone similar has been the cause of…
Will the Oscar-winning ex-VP take up the debate challenge? The current third favourite in the betting on who will be the Democratic nominee in next year’s White House Race is the failed candidate from 2000 who has yet to enter the race. Yet still the money continues to be put on Al Gore and he’s how at a not-so-generous 5.6/1. For the former Vice-President and failed candidate in 2000 has taken on a new lease of life with the climate…
Who’ll have most for February 5th 2008 “Super Duper Tuesday”? The big news in the 2008 White House race this week has been the announcements from the various camps about how successful they have been in fund-raising in the first quarter. Hillary Clinton kicked off earlier in the week with a statement from her campaign that a massive $26m had been raised from about 50,000 donors. The Obama camp waited a couple of days until last night when they announced…
Is he putting his wife’s health first? John Edwards, the Democrat VP candidate in 2004, is holding a press conference within the next hour amidst reports that he is planning to quit the race to win his party’s nomination for the 2008 race because of his wife’s health. His betting price has started to ease and now stands at about 11/1. In recent months Edwards has been working very hard in Iowa and New Hampshire – which are amongst the…
US punters rate his chances for the nomination at nearly 44% With the massive clamp-down by the US authorities against gambling online the Iowa Electronic markets are taking on a greater importance as a way of seeing how American gamblers are viewing the 2008 White House Race. This is a stock exchange that trades in “political futures” and has been operated by the state university for the past fifteen as a means of studying how markets operate. It is now…
How the primary timetable will squeeze out all but the front-runners Anybody considering a bet on the US elections should check out this recent article by by Dick Morris, the former advisor to Bill Clinton. For the way the primaries will work next year is going to make it very tough for all but the front-runners in both the Democratic and Republican races to have an impact. Morris points out that on February 5th 2008, just three weeks after the…