LAB drops to 3rd LAB pushed into 3rd place in the Q4 2016 party donation totals from @ElectoralCommUK . UKIP got just £33k. CON top pic.twitter.com/k6ufeXHbVj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2017 See the difference between the amount of private v public funding received by political parties pic.twitter.com/n7E9EAdu5z — Electoral Commission (@ElectoralCommUK) March 2, 2017 Tweet
Ukip donor Banks says he will run against Carswell at next election after MP describes party as a 'basket case' https://t.co/9EcJfklbkp v — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28, 2017 https://twitter.com/DouglasCarswell/status/836335896379207680 @MarkReckless this Carswell tweet says it all. UKIP MP or not, I'll stand against him in Clacton next election! https://t.co/NjuTDITiBI — Arron Banks (@Arron_banks) February 27, 2017 My money would be on Carswell. Extraordinarily popular in Clacton and, no doubt, has the data. https://t.co/LgYNzLtff5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 28,…
Next leader to leave – William Hill 6/4 Nuttall (In from 9/4) 6/4 Corbyn 5/1 May 8/1 Sturgeon 12/1 Farron At the weekend I had a bet at 9/4 with William Hill that Paul Nuttall will be the next party leader to exit his post. That’s since tightened to 6/4 which still looks a good punt. Clearly amongst the other options Corbyn is most at risk but as we’ve seen he is a stubborn old man and the party rules…
I like this spoof English Heritage plaque which is doing the rounds in Stoke Central pic.twitter.com/tFJbR2xu9n — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2017 Now Nuttall risks being disqualified as an MEP The last time an elected MP was kicked out by the courts was LAB’s Phil Woolas in 2010. The notorious leaflets his team produced were ruled to be an illegal practice where there’s a maximum of 3 year disqualification from holding elected office. The Nuttall move relates directly to…
A few months ago Harry Hayfield, PB’s local election specialist, introduced a new element in his regular monitoring of local by-election: dividing them up into whether the local authority areas voted REMAIN or LEAVE on June 23rd. This enables us to compare the two areas. A lot of focus has been put on seat changes but the above data looks at how the vote shares have changed in the two types of seat. The vote change relates to what happened…
Why I’m taking the 20/1 on Farage being UKIP leader at the end of 2017 Betway have some specials up on what will happen to UKIP in 2017, the one that caught my attention was Nigel Farage to end 2017 as UKIP leader at 20/1, much like a persistent rash, Nigel Farage regularly returns as the next UKIP leader. Ladbrokes make it 3/1 that Nigel Farage will be the next UKIP leader, so by my reckoning the 20/1 on Farage…
Embed from Getty Images Just before Christmas, Douglas Carswell UKIP’s sole MP received an interesting present from former UKIP leader Nigel Farage, who effectively told Carswell to begat off. Douglas Carswell should not be in Ukip, Nigel Farage has said of the party’s only MP, despite vowing not to interfere in internal politics after stepping down as leader. Relations between Farage and the Clacton MP have soured since Carswell’s high-profile defection from the Conservatives in 2014. “He shouldn’t be in the…
What are the chances for UKIP’s new leader? On May 4th, less than five months away, the MP for Leigh and twice failed LAB leadership contender, Andy Burnham, will be the LAB candidate for the newly created elected mayoralty of Greater Manchester – a position which was very much the brain-child of George Osborne as part of his “Northern Powerhouse” project. Ladbrokes make Burnham the 1/6 favourite to take what would be the most powerful elected mayoralty after London and…