The “Bad Boys Of Brexit” relates the adventures of Nigel Farage, Aaron Banks and Andy Wigmore and the Leave.eu campaign from July 2015 to the referendum and beyond, with a later addendum taking the story up to the May election announcement . It’s told in diary format as written by Aaron Banks, one of the leaders of Leave.eu. The blurb tells us that “every Remainer should steel themselves to read it, because the mindset that it captures…is driving change on…
Do voters know that he’s quit UKIP? Given the Commons votes over the past week then there must be a chance that the UK will participate in the European Parliament elections at the end of May. Farage is now with his new Brexit party which would what would appear on the closed list ballot papers if elections are held. The problem here is that while UKIP enjoys a high level of awareness Farage’s new party has yet to establish itself….
The most recent GB wide opinion polls, as collated by Wikipedia. https://t.co/XJhbZIFOjo pic.twitter.com/PK3Ng1vZTl — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 13, 2018 History suggests assuming Kippers will strongly back the Tories when UKIP don’t stand is a mistake. Since the announcement of the Chequers deal in July UKIP have experienced a bit of a polling surge with some polls having them polling 7% and 8% but generally in the 4% to 6% range. I’m expecting UKIP at the next general election will repeat…
It is a regular feature of horror films that, just when you think it has been destroyed, the monster lurches back into life one last time to terrorise the valiant hero. Right now the corpse of UKIP is lying slouched in the corner but with its poll ratings a quantum level higher than they were two months ago its body is twitching as if an electrical stimulus is being pumped through it. Can it return from the dead? Following the…
Tories now 3 points ahead with ICMCON 44+1LAB 41-1LD 8 +1GRN 2 -1UKIP 1 -1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 20, 2018 Is it all over now the party’s task is almost complete? Ever since the referendum on June 23rd 2016 life has been pretty difficult for UKIP the party, which undoubtedly played a huge part in shaping this dramatic decision. Since then we’ve all followed the various leadership issues and I chuckled when Fairy liquid produced an advertisement suggesting…
Serious analysis shows this is not happening One of the big electoral assumptions that continues to be made is that the decline of UKIP means that their votes shift almost an entirety to the Conservatives. We saw this thinking big time in a run up to the June 2016 general election when people were looking at the previous results from a seat and simply adding the UKIP share to the Tory total to come to some of you as to…
Love this pic.twitter.com/A0lylpFIRJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 19, 2018 How Brussels created the electoral system for UKIP to prosper One of the ongoing political developments that has amused many since the referendum has been the UKIP leadership and the problems the party has in ensuring that whoever is gets the job lasts the course. An of the success of UKIP over the years is that it owes so much to Brussels for seeking to impose similar voting systems for…
But what about bets on his survival? I quite like the 11/4 that he’ll hang on – after all Farage is on his side and the party doesn’t have an abundance of talent. I’ve been quite impressed with his resilience so far. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet