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Category: Donald Trump

The polling that should give great succour to Trump

The polling that should give great succour to Trump

Ahead of the G7 summit it is worth noting Donald Trump has the second highest 'own party' approval rating after 500 days of any US president in Gallup's archive. Only post 9/11 George W Bush is higher. pic.twitter.com/nZL9nBuUUT — Joe Twyman (@JoeTwyman) June 8, 2018 The above chart I found really interesting. Trump is retaining his support that is unmatched bar by George W Bush, by the hopefully unique set of circumstances that was 9/11. Despite the general hostility directed…

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Going nuclear

Going nuclear

ICYMI: Courtesy of the always resourceful @EIAgov, I got data back to 1949 of U.S. *net* petroleum imports (that's crude oil and refined products). The latest forecast is for 2019 net imports to drop to 1.5m b/d — lowest since 1958. #OOTT Full story here: https://t.co/itjliIuOzT pic.twitter.com/LXz1GvmULM — Javier Blas (@JavierBlas) May 9, 2018 When Peter the Great died in 1725, the Russian empire covered an extent unimagined when he came to power.  From his deathbed, he commanded his successors…

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Looking ahead to the 2018 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Looking ahead to the 2018 Nobel Peace Prize winner

I suppose it's good that they are getting rid of the nukes and all that, but it's not much good for this year's Nobel Peace Prize betting market. pic.twitter.com/o9Ahh6UQoF — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) April 27, 2018 Why I think the Nobel Committee will blow an ill wind for Trump Following this week’s events on the Korean peninsula you can see why Kim and Moon are the favourites to win the award. I’m going to avoid this market from Ladbrokes as…

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Fake news and how to deal with it

Fake news and how to deal with it

Russian propaganda—whether on chemical weapons in Syria, the nerve-agent attack in the UK, or the downing of the Malaysian Air flight over Ukraine—rarely attempts to explain the evidence but only to obfuscate it. But that’s what the guilty do. https://t.co/F3zwckGjVa — Kenneth Roth (@KenRoth) April 23, 2018 Revealed: John Bolton Chaired anti-Muslim Think Tank That Spread Fake News With Help of Russian Trollshttps://t.co/jiHNLNm3mW — Haaretz.com (@haaretzcom) April 23, 2018 DNA is perplexingly long. Almost 98% of the human genome is…

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The betting edges a notch away from Trump completing his first term

The betting edges a notch away from Trump completing his first term

With Trump’s personal attorney Michael Cohen due to appear in court at 1900 BST in New York there’s been some movement on the “Will Trump complete a full first term” betting on Betfair. The whole atmosphere has changed since the surprise raid on Cohen’s offices last week and there’s a lot of speculation about what might have been found. It is reported that Stormy Daniels will be at the hearing. It is also being said that the President is much…

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Betfair punters now make it a 66% chance that Trump will survive his first term

Betfair punters now make it a 66% chance that Trump will survive his first term

After a quite dramatic week in US politics during which there has been a raid on the law firm that advises the President there has been a slight decline on the betting markets on whether Trump will serve a full first term. The latest development with strong echoes of Watergate in the early 1970s is that Trump’s lawyer is known to have kept extensive sound recordings of those he had been in conversation with and the President’s allies are concerned…

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Trump ups the ante in Pennsylvania 18 staking a lot on his man winning tomorrow’s special election

Trump ups the ante in Pennsylvania 18 staking a lot on his man winning tomorrow’s special election

A Republican hold would be big boost to the President In the early hours of Wednesday morning, UK time, I expect to be glued to CNN coverage of the results in the Pennsylvania 18th District special election. This is proving to be a massive battle and the outcome looks set to frame the narrative of how the November midterms are seen. The President is very aware of this and at the weekend made another highly publicised big visit to the…

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Peace talks for our time, but where?

Peace talks for our time, but where?

The deal with North Korea is very much in the making and will be, if completed, a very good one for the World. Time and place to be determined. — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 10, 2018 Will Trump have his Nixon in China moment? Following the news about the summit between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un Ladbrokes have a market up on the location of the summit. It is well noted that Kim Jong-un is very paranoid, particularly about his own…

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