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Category: Donald Trump

Whoever the Dems choose to fight Trump at WH2020 will have to cope with the incumbent’s devastating nick name strategy

Whoever the Dems choose to fight Trump at WH2020 will have to cope with the incumbent’s devastating nick name strategy

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One of the things that the Elizabeth Warren DNA argument has highlighted is how successful Trump is at undermining anybody who is an opponent by the use of well thought out nicknames. These encapsulate the main negative and he uses the attack time and time again. Just remember from the 2016 nomination and election when we had,”Little Marco” , “Low energy” Bush, “Lying Ted” , and, of course, “Crooked Hillary”. Those all in their own way contributed to Trump’s victory….

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Dismantling Obamacare could be what undermines Trump and the GOP in the midterms

Dismantling Obamacare could be what undermines Trump and the GOP in the midterms

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The effort to erode what’s become an entitlement is a massive political gamble In poll after poll in the US the biggest issue to voters is not Kavanaugh’s appointment to the Supreme Court, the economy or immigration but the efforts by the Republicans to water down the limited public health provision that’s available in the US. Last year, it will be recalled, Trump’s plan to abolish Obamacare completely was undermined by the late Senator John McCain who rebelled against his…

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New Midterms survey finds the Democrats making progress in 69 key marginals

New Midterms survey finds the Democrats making progress in 69 key marginals

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In what we in the UK would describe as a poll of marginals the Washington Post is reporting a survey in 69 key Congressional districts which overall voted 56% Republican to 41% Democratic last time, This latest survey by the Schar School at George Mason University has the Democrats on 50% to the Republicans on 46%. In UK terms that represents quite some swing. The paper notes that they went for this approach because “we know less about the opinions…

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The Kavanaugh Conclusion: Trump voters own the GOP; he will be nominated in 2020

The Kavanaugh Conclusion: Trump voters own the GOP; he will be nominated in 2020

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Republican Senators fear Trump and his voters more than anything Brett Kavanaugh will almost certainly be confirmed today as the newest member of the US Supreme Court. His behaviour in front of the Senate Committee – aggressive, threatening, overly emotional, highly partisan, evasive – would have been surprising for a nominee to an Executive branch position; as a candidate for the country’s highest court, where you might think that cool minds, sober judgement and lofty impartiality would be called for,…

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The Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination: Trump ups the ante by mocking the woman who says she was sexually assaulted

The Kavanaugh Supreme Court nomination: Trump ups the ante by mocking the woman who says she was sexually assaulted

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In the betting PaddyPower make it 3/10 that Brett Kavanaugh will be confirmed as Justice of the Supreme Court in 2018 and 21/10 that he won’t. The wider political dimension is how this is going to influence voters in the midterm elections next month when the Democratic party has a realistic chance of taking the House and an outside one of taking the Senate as well. Until a few hours ago Trump had been fairly guarded in how he referred…

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It’s the WH2016 voter segments that said they were backing Hillary but abstained that the GOP should worry about

It’s the WH2016 voter segments that said they were backing Hillary but abstained that the GOP should worry about

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We all recall how in much of key state polling at WH2016 that Clinton was overstated thus giving us a very false impression of what was going to happen. Much of this was not down to switching but to ostensible Clinton backers not bothering to turnout. Their problem was the candidate. One of the insights I got from this excellent analysis of November’s US Midterm elections by NBC’s, Chris Matthews, is what this group of voters will do in the…

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Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, faces a second accuser

Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, faces a second accuser

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By far the biggest political battle in US politics at the moment is the effort by the Republicans to ensure that Trump’s nominee for the Supreme Court vacancy, Brett Kavanaugh, gets approved. Because of the power of the court and the fact that members are appointed for life this has the potential of having an impact in the US that could last decades. The Democrats are doing everything to try to stall the process while the White House is pushing…

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Ashcroft US poll finds 53% saying there are grounds to believe that Trump committed crimes that would warrant impeachment

Ashcroft US poll finds 53% saying there are grounds to believe that Trump committed crimes that would warrant impeachment

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Nearly a half believe Trump campaign colluded with Russia & he was aware A 6k sample poll of US voters has just been published by Lord Ashcroft and sets the scene for the important midterm elections that take place in the first week in November. Currently the Democratic party is enjoying reasonable leads in generic Congressional polls and the betting is on the party re-taking control of the House. But a much tighter battle is taking place for control of…

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