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‘La Famiglia’by Marf His shutdown has backfired and he’s vulnerable For all the attention on Robert Mueller’s investigation into Trump’s campaign and associated activities, the thing that will ultimately do for Trump – or save him – is politics. The latest reports, that Trump directed his lawyer to lie to Congress, are certainly not good news for the embattled president but nor are they catastrophic. For one thing, as he is fond of noting, Michael Cohen is not necessarily a…

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Now he’s in negative territory amongst non-college whites With the US government shutdown continuing and 800k federal workers not getting their salary cheques on Friday there’s no sign of an end to what is totally dominating US politics. Basically Trump has shut down large parts of the federal government to put pressure on the Democrats to provide funding for a wall along the whole of the Mexican-US border. This was a key Trump WH2016 campaign pledge when he said the…

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US Map showing Trump approval ratings Jan 2017 US Map showing Trump approval ratings Dec 2018 It is a sign of just how long PB has been around that next year’s White House Race will be the 5th that we’ve covered on the site since its foundation in March 2004. These are massive betting events something that is helped by the build-up of primaries towards the nominations of then of course the battle itself. With just under two years to…

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Meanwhile the Mueller investigation gets closer Tomorrow sees the final chapter in this year’s midterms with the runoff for the Senatorial place in Mississippi. Today the president is attending two mass rallies in different parts of the state in the hope of shoring up his core vote ahead of the election. This is one that Republicans should really hold. It is in a solid “red state” and the expectation is that the party will be able to see off a…

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Just be thankful you don’t work in the West Wing Away from Brexit for a moment and things do not appear to be happy in the White House. This from the excellent Political Wire For weeks this fall, an ebullient President Trump traveled relentlessly to hold raise-the-rafters campaign rallies — sometimes three a day — in states where his presence was likely to help Republicans on the ballot,” the Los Angeles Times reports. “But his mood apparently has changed as…

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