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Category: Tories

Will the Gore-Cameron link help both men?

Will the Gore-Cameron link help both men?

Can the man who went down to Bush help sell the Tory air tax? With the Tories planning to move into potentially dangerous territory with their green tax proposals one of the most intriguing stories this morning is the Sunday Telegraph report that David Cameron has persuaded the former Democrat nominee turned Oscar winner, Al Gore, to visit Britain next week. For the Tory tax plan which will progressively penalise people the more they fly could be very tricky to…

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Cannabis poll boost for Cameron

Cannabis poll boost for Cameron

Populus finds that “his refusal to discuss” has big public backing A total of 81% of those interviewed in a new Populus poll in the Times this morning agreed that “it does not matter if Mr Cameron smoked cannabis when he was at school or university.” In a second question 85% agreed “that he should not be expected to answer detailed questions about whether he tried drugs in his youth because all politicians are entitled to have made mistakes when…

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So what’s going to be the political impact of this?

So what’s going to be the political impact of this?

Is the smoking dope admission going hurt or aid the Tories? These are some of the early front pages. What’s the impact going to be? The most positive feature for Cameron is that after weeks and weeks of hardly getting any coverage the Tories are back on the front pages. He has never denied taking drugs so the “hypocrite” charge will be hard to stick. Looking at the way Barack Obama dealt with his youthful indiscretions there really is a…

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What chances of Prime Minister Cameron by December 31st?

What chances of Prime Minister Cameron by December 31st?

Is 50/1 against it happening a good value bet In a new market the bookmaker Stan James is offering 50/1 against this eventuality which puts the assessment of it happening at 2%. All betting is about value. How does your assessment of something happening compare with the betting prices available? If you think the probability of an outcome is better than the betting odds then you have a good value bet. Is this one worth taking? For Cameron to be…

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Cameron: Tories party of working people

Cameron: Tories party of working people

Is this his “most audacious move yet?” In what the Observer is describing this morning is David Cameron’s most “audacious bid yet to capture Labour’s political ground” the Tory leader says his is “the true party of ‘working people’ in Britain.” In his New Year message he says that the Tories will become “the party that represents working people rather than the rich and powerful” and declares that the next twelve months will see “Labour’s dark side” coming to the…

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So what is happening with Cameron’s ratings?

So what is happening with Cameron’s ratings?

The numbers that will do whatever you want them to do From the chart above it is possible to make just about any case you want over how David Cameron is being perceived. If you want to show that he’s moving up then just make your base point the YouGov July survey and compare with the latest numbers. If you want to show that he’s going down make your base survey February 2006. The selective approach to all sorts of…

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Will the “big fist” bring back the swing voters?

Will the “big fist” bring back the swing voters?

Was Blair doing the Chancellor a favour with his fighting imagery? As often happens in politics the initial reaction to a development or a speech can change quite drastically within a few days. Last Wednesday Tony Blair’s farewell Commons performance in a Queen’s speech debate was well received by commentators particularly his “put down” of David Cameron by threatening him with a “big fist” – a move seen as an endorsement of Gordon Brown. By yesterday there had been a…

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Populus find huge gender gap over Gordon v Dave

Populus find huge gender gap over Gordon v Dave

Is this the result of Murdoch’s ferocious attacks on the Tory leader After a week which has seen savage criticism by the Murdoch press on David Cameron and positive media coverage generally of Gordon Brown the November Populus poll in the Times shows the following shares with changes on last month – CON 36% (nc): LAB 33% (-2): LD20 % (+2). So the trend is in line with recent YouGov, ICM and Communicate Research polls but with the Tory margin…

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