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Category: Tories

Your regular reminder that laying the favourite in the next Tory leader market is usually very profitable

Your regular reminder that laying the favourite in the next Tory leader market is usually very profitable

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Ignoring the polls and laying the favourite for the next Tory leader has been consistently a profitable route for nearly half a century. The picture above is from ConHome’s regular polling on the next Tory leader from October 2015, Osborne would lead for five months in a row, yet he failed to become David Cameron’s successor. Now people might argue Osborne’s prominent role in the Remain campaign put the kibosh on him succeeding David Cameron but he’s not the first…

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Damian Green’s computer is none of our business

Damian Green’s computer is none of our business

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This has unhealthy echoes of the Plebgate affair Why would former policemen leak details of an investigation that didn’t result in a prosecution (never mind a conviction), which took place nine years ago and where the details were incidental to the alleged act being investigated? The answer to that is, of course, entirely speculative. It is also to a large degree irrelevant. If there was evidence of criminal wrongdoing, they should have acted at the time. If there wasn’t, they…

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The last 48 hours makes me content to keep on laying David Davis as next PM/Tory leader

The last 48 hours makes me content to keep on laying David Davis as next PM/Tory leader

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This was @DavidDavisMP on @MarrShow 3 September telling the public a £50bn Brexit divorce bill is "rubbish, nonsense and completely wrong!" pic.twitter.com/wNzY6XeVCf — Peter Stefanovic (@PeterStefanovi2) November 29, 2017 A few weeks ago Dexeu forced a correction from FT after we wrote that "Steve Baker and Robin Walker, two Dexeu ministers, admitted last week that they had not read the assessments." https://t.co/QKzA2D5mnX Now they say the assessments never existed. Weird or what? — Jim Pickard ? (@PickardJE) November 28, 2017…

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My 100/1 tip for next PM is setting his sights on Number 10

My 100/1 tip for next PM is setting his sights on Number 10

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My 100/1 tip for next Prime Minister Jeremy Hunt is setting his sights on Number 10. https://t.co/IgCwfMN8dO pic.twitter.com/w3gH3zJXVe — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 26, 2017 The Sunday Times report The health secretary Jeremy Hunt has sounded out colleagues and party donors about a run for the Tory leadership when Theresa May stands down. Senior Eurosceptics say Hunt is lining himself up as an alternative to Boris Johnson as the main Brexiteer candidate for prime minister after publicly switching his support from…

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When will there be the next Cabinet resignation? William Hill’s new market

When will there be the next Cabinet resignation? William Hill’s new market

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Theresa’s Balliol boys look the most vulnerable These are indeed turbulent times at Westminster with two Cabinet exits in the space of a week. Now Hill’s have opened a market on not WHO will be the next to go but WHEN. These are the options and odds: When Will Next Cabinet Minister Resign (Full Cabinet Members only) 2/1 November 5/2 December 8/1 January 10/1 February 12/1 March 6/4 April or later Clearly there are two who have featured prominently in…

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Back to the 1990s? Maybe

Back to the 1990s? Maybe

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https://twitter.com/BobJWilliams/status/926587275105984513 Friday might have been the day the Tories became ungovernable again Remakes are rarely as good as the originals. For all the attempts to update the story, they’re generally hamstrung by the essential unoriginality of it. Not that that stops the recycling: the public might not take them to their hearts but they’ll pay their money all the same. We might seem to be living through a remake now. A Tory prime minister with no majority, reliant on the…

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Mrs May has missed an opportunity and it could be costly

Mrs May has missed an opportunity and it could be costly

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Cyclefree reflects on a dramatic week It was Abba Eban who said of the Palestinians that “they never missed an opportunity to miss an opportunity.” However true this may or may not be of the Palestinians, it is certainly true of Mrs May. One Cabinet resignation does not have to lead to a full-scale reshuffle, of course, particularly if the PM cannot be certain how many of the possible candidates have been guilty of knee touching, knee tremblers or any…

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